Copyright is owned by the Author of the thesis. Permission is given for a copy to be downloaded by an individual for the purpose of research and private study only. The thesis may not be reproduced elsewhere without the permission of the Author. New Zealand's Energy Policy from the World-System Perspective A thesis presented in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Philosophy in Development Studies at Massey University Held at NZP Stack Jutha Debahasatin January 1994 Abstract The World-System Theory of Immanuel Wallerstein is a grand-scale theory that is useful as a framework to understand how New Zealand's path of ~pment has been ~fected by the country's energy policy. The theory is appropriate in application to energy issues because its macro-level of analysis puts emphasis on both exogenous and endogenous factors. Its special emphasis on historical background and context also adds to an understanding of the New Zealand position. The World-System perspective offers three major concepts directly applicable to the case of New Zealand energy policy, namely, the interplay between politics and economics with a particular interest in the role of multinational corporations (MNCs) and the state, the notion of semiperiphery, and the cyclical nature of the world economy. During the period of the 1970s economic downturn marked by two oil crises, New Zealand as well as most other countries-and the MNCs suffered a severe setback. However, while most core states, as well as some successful non-core states and the oil majors, could react appropriately to the crises and retain their potential for growth, the semiperipheral New Zealand could not. The country possessed few options because of her intermediate level of industrialisation and less competent state apparatus compared to the MNCs involved. Lacking the intention to promote local industrial capitalists, the New Zealand state chose wrong strategies, first Think Big and then disinve tin0at, which together have undermined the bargaining position of local entrepreneurs, over-committed the national hydrocarbon resource and disproportionately promoted the interest of the foreign oil corporations. The overall outcome of the energy policy is therefore detrimental to the country's development. 11 Preface This thesis evaluates the context and the outcome of New Zealand's energy policy during 1970s - 1990s. Immanuel Wallerstein's World-System theory is used as the theoretical framework for analysis. The thesis content is therefore divided into two major sections: theoretical framework and New Zealand's energy policy. Chapter one is the introductory part. Chapter two and three deal with theoretical matters. Chapter two elaborates the overview of the theory and chapter three discusses relevant theoretical aspects. Chapter four will tum the attention of the readers to economic and political settings, both at the global and internal level, during the policy shifts. Chapter six will examine the policy decisions and chapter five will evaluate them. Finally, chapter seven, the conclusion, will synthesize both theoretical and New Zealand's policy sections. lll Acknowledgement The completion of this thesis has been made possible by the wise guidance of my supervisor, Dr.P.L. Read. I feel indebted to his thoughtful advice and deeply appreciate his efforts in regard to his supervisory task, especially during the vacation period that should have been his free time. I also have appreciated advice and moral support from Dr.Croz Walsh accorded to me since the very first day that I became a student in the development studies deparunent, until recently when he left for a new position in Fiji. I would like also to thank Brian Ponter for his kind counsel that helped me formulate the skeleton of the thesis and for his recommendation over procedural aspects regarding the completion of my thesis. My special thanks go also to Ms. Molly Melhuish in Wellington. She kindly spared her precious time to enlighten me with her extensive knowledge in the field of energy. Also in Wellington, I appreciated the helpful assistance of Ms. Christine Jamieson, Deputy Librarian, Ministry of Commerce, and the library staff. I am indebted to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Thailand which was kind enough to let me pursue my study for more than two years. I feel much obliged to colleagues who had to work harder to enable my absence. I would also like to express my appreciation to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade of New Zealand who sponsored my study at Massey University. Finally, I would like to express my sincere thanks to friends in the Thai Student Association whose confidence and support in the time that they were most needed, helped alleviate the pressures that would have been otherwise unbearable. Special appreciation to Ms. Pomtip Ngamkasem, without whom this thesis would not have been completed in time. page Abstract Preface Acknowledgements List of Tables and Figures TABLE OF CONTENT Chapter I. Introduction 1 ii iii V 1 Chapter II. World-System Theory of Immanuel Wallerstein 12 Chapter ill. Semiperipheral States and Multinational Corporations in Cyclical Economic Trends 32 Chapter IV. International Political Economic Climate and Its Impacts on New Zealand 65 Chapter V. Energy Policy, or Lack of It 99 Chapter VI. New Zealand Economic Performance as an Outcome of the Country's Energy Policy Chapter VII. Conclusion Bibliography 126 159 168 IV LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES Tables page Table 3.1 Crude Classification of the International System Circa 1970 50 Table 3.2 Net Migration Gains and Losses in New Zealand of Polynesian-Born People, by Migrant Category, 1971-1986 54 Table 3.3 Crude Classification of the International System Circa 1990 56 Table 4.1 Leading Oil Companies (The Chase Manhattan Group Average Return on Invested Capital Table 4.2 Annual Average FOB Export Price of 34 API Arabian Light Crude Oil Table 4.3 World Energy Consumption Table 4.4 NZ' s Major Import Commodities Table 4.5 Trends in Consumption of Primary Energy Table 4.6 External Government Account Balances Table 6.1 Estimated Balance of Payments Flows Associated with Large Projects Figures Figures 4.1 Trends in Consumer Energy Use Figures 6.1 Total Production of Energy Supply/GDP Ratios of OECD Countires Figures 6.2 Price of Import Oil Figures 6.3 Crude Oil Consumption Figures 6.4 Retail Prices of Fuel Oils 75 78 80 84 87 93 137 88 128 144 145 145 V 1 I. Introduction While problems of inequality and injustice still prevail, applying grand scale theory to understand the root causes and to guide the way towards the tackling of the problems is less appealing in the eyes of contemporary development scholars. Recently, the development studies sphere has witnessed the withering away of generic functionalism which gave way to inductive research on a limited scope. Also less emphasised as a prime strategy for improvement is focusing problems at the state level. Yet denying grand scale theory has some shortcomings. Firstly, small empirical research work may, if not usually, confirms or relates to a theory and 'adds plausibility to a metatheory that the researcher has never thought about' . 1 Fumbling through random phenomena without conscious use of systematic deduction guided by theoretical framework thus may only be a tortuous route leading to a conclusion not very much different from what has already been suggested by a theorist. Secondly, states do share some common characteristics and sometimes repeat others' mistakes; therefore, conceptualisation of changes and continuity on the international scale and generalisation of social issues contributes more towards comparative studies than examining the uniqueness of a society. Here, grand scale 1 See Leslie Sklair, "Transcending the Impasse: Metatheory, Theory and Empirical research in the Sociology of Development and Underdevelopment" in World Development 16, 6(1988) p.698. 2 theory can act as a storehouse of past wisdom, restored m the form of logical networks, some of which may prove valuable for many other societies. And, thirdly, human global society is so complex that one has to either comprehend the entire social mechanism in some forms of reductionism or compre- hend only a tiny part of it and neglect all the rest. Denial of grand scale theory falls in the latter category which, while escapes the trap of overreduction and superficiality, may face problems when the case-study involves powerful extragenous causal factors. For these reasons, developmental problems that grand scale theories like Parsonian modernisation or dependency have failed to eliminate still outpoint the issue-tackling developmentalists. Seeing the virtue of grand scale theory in apprehending complexities of human society, I still disbelieve the end of its era. As Daniel Garst comments, The reception of novel ideas in social and political theory has usually been marked by two phrases: at first there is an initial burst of enthusiasm in which the idea in question is seen as providing answer to long-standing anomalies and opening up the way for new interesting path of research; this acclaim, however, that is then normally followed by a period of disillusionment in which the idea in question comes to be seen as a theoretical dead-end with the re-search being taken within its framework viewed as counterproductive1 it is just that such kind of theory is trapped in the cycle of hope and disillusionment. In social sciences it is not the case that a theory, or an operational research without a guidance of a theory, is totally relevant or irrelevant to a contemporary issue, but the 1 Daniel Garst, "Wallerstein and His Critics", Theory and Society 14, 4 (July, 1985) p. 469. 3 point is to employ a right tool to a right job. In addressing complicate problems that require interdisciplinary apparatus, it is still possible that grand scale theory may render a very useful perspective. National development, for example, involves historical limitations, economic impediments and political constraints, domestically and internationally. With the help of a grand scale theory, the path of national development can be logically comprehended and the contribution of the government policy towards the progress can be likewise assessed, both within an international context. Apart from getting benefit from theory, the theory itself can also be benefitted. Applying a grand scale theory framework to contemporary issues also means another empirical test for the idea. Since every theoretical proposition has room for improvements, trial over time will contribute to its refinement. It will be a pity for a theory if it attracts no more critics or has to be kept in a sacred place, for such situations signal immobilism. For the above-mentioned reasons, I decide to employ a grand scale theory, namely the World-System proposed by Immanuel Wallerstein, to analyze a case in national development, that is New Z.ealand's energy policy, with primary emphases on oil and gas sectors. The theory and the case constitute an interesting combination. The World-System Theory underlines the importance of a global perspective in understanding the relative level of development of countries. It emphasises the linkage between the economic and political factors. External influences and states' reactions are issues of prime significance according to the perspective. Energy issue can be best investigated under this perspective because of its transnational characteristics and the involvements of the state and the multinationals. Moreover, the theory's unique 4 positioning of New 2.ealand in an intermediate level of development (semiperiphery) fits in the country's pattern of energy investment and of import-export as well as the comparative GNP data. 1 The World-System Theory nowadays may not be at the heart of the debate. Since Wallerstein "discovered" the World-System in 1974,2 his basic propositions, appeared in the book and his following publications, have been endorsed, criticized and scrutinized incessantly. Those with empirical doubts question either his accuracy or his interpretation of given facts. The comments are usually well-based and Wallerstein undeniably continues to produce the lapse but, due to the limit scope of each remark, the critics never proved to be serious detrimental to Wallerstein's thesis. Wallerstein regards them as constructive critics because they force him to make a more precise analysis.3 As for the theoretical critics, W allerstein either shows his indifference or sometime contempt. According to him, [a]ddressing them deductively would be pointless however as it would not lead to a rational debate, but merely to a clash of opposing 1 This point is to be discussed in Chapter Three. 2 Ragin and Chirot discuss "the discovery" of a World System which they regard as a process first towards methodological conclusion and then finally towards the completion of Wallerstein' notion that 'modern social change could be studied only in the context of a historically conceived world system,'. The publication of the first volume of The Modem World-System in 1974 marked the completion of the process. See Charles Ragin and Daniel Chirot, "The World System of Immanuel W allerstein: Sociology and Politics as History", in Theda Skocpol ed., Vision and Method in Historical Sociology. (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1984) pp. 279-284. 3 Wallerstein, ibid. p.469. 5 faiths. We shall, therefore, address them heuristically, arguing that our deductive classification is more useful than alternative ones, because it comprehends more easily and elegantly what we collectively know at present about historical reality, and because it affords us an interpretation of this reality which enables us to act more efficaciously on the present. 1 Such critiques, almost by their nature, tend to fall by rebound into the sin opposite to the one they are attacking. 2 As I understand it, this category includes those who argue against single macro-unit of analysis and may propose class or three-world analysis instead, or who criticise the Modem World-System as too economic oriented or relying too much on historical approach. The "clash of opposing faiths" is not yet settled but the point seem to be left open. In this paper the 'clash' is born in mind but will not be revived. Only when the part of the theory in use has some challenges either empirically or theoretically, remarks will be given. After all, controversial as it was, the World­ System Theory offers several useful insights as will be discussed in forthcoming chapters. Turning to the energy issue in New Zealand, this paper will devote its attention to the oil and gas sectors, though electricity industry may sometimes be mentioned. The country's adaptation during the 1970s and 1980s to the changing international environment is of particular interest. Then the global economy witnessed a big recession and a revival. The external shocks in 1970s, caused mainly by the 1973 1 Ibid. p. 20. 2 Ibid. p. 8. 6 and 1979 oil crises, affected the country severely and the reaction to the shocks, as manifested in the energy policy, also left a profound impact on the New Zealand's economy. In this regard, the government's decisions on the alleviation of the country's burden of importing oil and on the natural gas reserves played a key role in the economic performance of the country. What is interesting in the case of New Zealand when compared to most other OECD countries is that the New Zealand state had a structural constraint that resulted in poor performances in the energy sector. The key failure that is attributed to the past energy policies is the country's low productivity relative to the energy consumed. To be more precise, New Zealand's energy intensity, as measured by the TPER/GDP ratio1 increased by 31 % between 1973 and 1987 and was on the rising trend in the following years. Only two other members of the OECD International Energy Agency (IBA) experienced increases in energy intensity over that period: Portugal 19% and Greece 11 %. In contrast, the energy intensity of the IBA countries was falling and the IBA average fell by 23% between 1973 and 1987.2 While increasing energy consumption as well as energy intensity are points of national concerns, Energy Minister John Luxton asserts a positive aspect -the 1 OECD criterion: total production of energy required in comparison with gross domestic products. 2 International Energy Agency (IEA), Energy Policies and Progress of IEA Countries, 1989 Review. (OECD, Paris, 1980) p. 183. See also Ministry of Commerce, Energy Data File. (Wellington, 1991) pp.50-51 and Geoff Bertram, "New Zealand's Rising Energy Intensity", Victoria Economic Commentaries. (Victoria University of Wellington, March 1991), and also, Bertram, The Rising Energy Intensity of the New Zealand Economy. (Victoria University of Wellington, 1991) pp. 4 - 8. 7 country's liquid fuels self-sufficiency is now around 50%1 • He also attributes the energy intensity to low population and housing density, thus high transport and heating costs per capita, and to the country's "comparative advantage with cheap energy" 2 which enables energy intensive industries.2 Like that of the World-System Theory, controversy over the success/failure of New Zealand's energy policy, based on interpretation of available data, is still far from settled. From a broader point of view, however, studying energy policy has so far contributed to a circular arguments along the line of the disagreement between two economic perspectives: Keynesianism and monetarism. The arguments on deregulation and price efficiency or security of supply appear to be rather repetitive though informative in substance. Here there appears another 'clash' in which the involvement of the government is viewed as either desirable or detrimental regardless of the coun­ try's level of development. When incorporated into a wider aspect of national development and reconsidered through an interdisciplinary perspective, energy policy may carry with it another meaning. Although both the World-System Theory and the case of New Zealand's energy policy have passed their era of colourful debates and insightful investigations, applying the World-System perspective to New Zealand's energy policy is promising as well as challenging. The mixed optimism is attributed to following reasons: 1 John Luxton, "Opening Address", Energy Sector Reform. Addresses of Speaker at the Seminar Organised and Presented by the New Zealand National Committee World Energy Council, 18 March 1992, P. 6. 2 Ibid. p. 14. 8 1. The World-System Theory was originated from an attempt to understand root cause of problems facing national development. It was formulated to discuss the mechanism of the system that enables or impedes progress "by the analogy with astronomy which purports to explain the law governing the universe"1 and hence making the births and the paths of stars comprehensible. Emphasising exogenous factors and the interplay of politics and economics within a historical context, the world-system is a suitable framework to analyze the role of state in national development meaningfully. 2. Breakthroughs in economic theory formulation may derive from incorporating perspectives from other branches of sciences. 2 Energy policy is an economic issue that has a potential to be cross-bred with interdisciplinary perspectives. In this regard I see the World-System Theory as one 'macro-sociology' theory that can shed a new light on the study of the energy issue. 3. The world-system perspective has been applied to explain ethnic tensions3 a European peripheral society,4 Japan and China developments,5 modem 1 Wallerstein, The Modem World-System. (New York: Academic Press, 1974) p. 7. 2 Georgescu-Roegen's theory of irreversibility of material inputs which earned him the Nobel Prize is an example of incorporating the second law of thermodynamics into resource economics. 3 Michael Hechter, International Colonialism: The Celtic Fringe in British National Development, 1536-1966. (London: Routhledge & Kegan Paul, 1975). 4 Daniel Chirot, Social Change in a Peripheral Society: The Creation of a Balkan Colony. (New York: Academic Press, 1986). 9 banking and financial system1 and etc., but, to my knowledge, none directly concerns energy policy. Since energy policy constitutes a crucial part of state strategy in enhancing its position in the world dynamic hierarchy, it will be another worthwhile test that can broaden the sphere of the study of the world system. 4. Development is a process of relative enhancement and not a static condition which can be reached once and for all. Countries in the intermediate status in the world system are therefore subject to struggling both against recession and towards a better position at the same time. This group of countries, however, has not been the major focus of most studies in the development field. In this light, New Zealand, an OECD country which experienced a unique trend of energy resource development compared to other OECD members,2 can be a good case study that tes­ tifies the dynamic and extensive nature of development process. A study of one country's policy is not an end in itself, but it should help to formulate theoretical guidelines for further understanding of social phenomena. Assessing New Zealand's energy policy along the line of the world-system perspective can contribute to development studies in this regard. New Zealand represents countries affected by global economic cycle especially the contraction of the early 1970s, while s Frances Moulder, Japan, China and the Modem World Economy: Toward a Reinterpretation of East Asian Developments ea. 1600 to ea. 1918. (Cambridge, UK & NY: Cambridge University Press, 1977). Fred Bloch, The Origins of International Economic Disorder. (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1977). 2 New Zealand's position as a semi-peripheral country will be discussed in forthcoming chapters. 10 the energy issue reflects adaptations of economic strategic of the actors involved, states and private sectors alike. According to Wallerstein, countries' relative position in the world system usually shifts during the contraction period of economic cycles resulted from the overall situations in relation to the strategies they take. Lessons can accordingly be drawn from assessing the international setting and the consequences of New 2.ealand's policy shift concerning energy prices and productions. Since the matter under consideration concerns two major aspects, the World-System Theory as theoretical framework and New 2.ealand's energy policy, this paper is likewise divided into two main sections. Chapter two and three deal with theoretical matters. Chapter two aims to make the reader familiar with systematic propositions of the World-System Theory; therefore, it will elaborate the overview of the theory. It will also review the intellectual context in which the approach was developed and will analyze Wallerstein's epistemology and methodology. Then chapter three will discuss relevant theoretical aspects including capitalist system and its cycles, the notion of semi-periphery states, and transnational owner-producer ( or multinational corporations). From the theoretical aspect of world capitalist system, chapter four will tum to a more concrete level of economic and political settings during the policy shifts. It will raise the issues of international oil market and New 2.ealand' s perception of the international context Domestic aspects will be addressed in the fifth chapter which will examine each policy decision which was made in particular situations. The examination will be based primarily on the interplay between political and economic 11 factors. In the sixth chapter, impacts of the energy policy will be assessed. The chapter will also discuss some constructive comments and recommendations. Finally, the last chapter will synthesize both theoretical and New Zealand's policy sections. This conclusion part will offer an evaluation of to what extent a country's policy, New Zealand's in this case, can be explained by a tri-modal World System Theory. 12 II. World-System Theory of Immanuel Wallerstein The World-System perspective became a distinctive theory with the publication of Immanuel Wallerstein's The Modern World-System1 in 1974. It shares common viewpoints and explanations with various theories but retains a uniqueness in the power of its synthesis of approaches and emphasis on linkages of factors under one global system. In the field of development theories, the perspective inherits several arguments from its predecessors in the "leftist" tradition - that is, Imperialism and Dependency Theories. As for its historical approach, the perspective is much influenced by the French Annales school. 2 It is also interesting to note that Wallerstein's writings borrow some arguments from "Smithian" economics, Chicago School of Economics and Keynesianism. Therefore, W allerstein' s ability to integrate the three branches of knowledge to form a new interdisciplinary perspective places his World-System Theory a high privilege in the field of social study. Since the 1970s, the theory has gained its acceptance as a mild-Marxian alternative that academically outshone the modernisation theory and offered an explanation that included both foreign and domestic aspects based on concrete historical knowledge. 1 Later, this book and the others in the series may be called MWS. 2 Charles Ragin and Daniel Chirot, "The World System of Immanuei W allerstein ... " p. 288. 13 World-System Theory: Overview and Background In the 1970s, the dependency school emerged as a major challenge to the dominance of the modernisation school of development theory. The latter views backwardness as a result of cultural hindrance and inadequacy of social infrastructure. It offers guidelines to overcome underdevelopment which many countries have followed. But this school is known for its fatal flaw as ahistorical, a characteristic which signals its weak explanatory power. Moreover, the growing gap between the developed and the 'developing' countries, observable since late 1960s, revealed the predictive failures of the approach. That made way for the emergence of radical dependency whose core/periphery dichotomy is based firmly in historical development of the colonial era and economic interpretation of underdevelopment Dependency school represented by Andre Gunder Frank and Samir Amin offers a sound explanation of underdevelopment that the modernisation school lacks. However, dependency itself cannot be a viable option for policy makers because it falls short of rendering practical strategies. The clash between the two theoretical poles without a clear winner left the 1970s an ideological vacuum to be filled by contending theories. At that time, W allerstein inclined more towards the dependency than th~ conventional sociological approaches by which his early writings were influenced. Wallerstein followed the dependency theorists' standpoint that the backwardness of the periphery was caused by exploitation by the core powers. 1 He agrees with Frank 1 Tony Spyby, Social Change, Development & Dependency. (Cambridge, MA: Polity Press, 1992) p.28; and Immanuel Wallerstein, Historical Capitalism. (London: Verso, 1983) pp.30-55. 14 that economic development and underdevelopment are the two sides of the same coin.1 In fact he identifies the World-System perspective with the 'Marxist' trend of the 'Latin American structuralists'2 as oppose to the 'liberal' or the modernisation school. But while the dependentistas occupy themselves with the analysis of the underdevelopment of the periphery, Wallerstein goes a bit further to understand the law of the system that governs the pattern of exploitation. The relationship between the two approaches is therefore, as Robert Brenner put it, that "[i]t has been left for Immanuel W allerstein to carry to its logical conclusion the system outlined by Frank". 3 Though, dependency influence may not be found in any of his work before the remarkable Modem World Systems (MWSs). Sociologist by training, Wallerstein still used conventional literature in sociology in his early academical writings.4 In the 1960s his focus was on African politics. Later, Wallerstein was frustrated by the fact that political development in Africa was impossible under the existing interstate structure, a problem that conventional sociological theories failed to 1 Wallerstein, The Modem World-System (MWS). p. 99. 2 Wallerstein, "The Present State of the Debate on World Inequality" in The Capitalist World-E.conomy: Essays by Immanuel Wallerstein. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1979) p.53. 3 Robert Brenner, "The Origins of Capitalist Development: A Critique of Neo-Smithian Marxism", in Hamza Alavi and Teodor Shanin (eds), Introduction to the Sociology of "Developing Societies". (London: Macmillan, 1982) p. 56. Saying this he means Frank underestimates the progressive force of capitalist development in the core by placing too much emphasis on the surplus appropriation from the periphery as determining capitalist development. The logic of capitalist evolution demonstrated by Frank is thus incomplete. It is Wallerstein who conceptualises the logic of the whole system where relationship between the core and the periphery is integrated. 4 Ragin and Chirot p. 280. 15 address, let alone to answer. Then he redirected his focus to the heart of the problem and developed a first step of what may be called Wallerstein' s world view: The field of action of the movement toward African Unity was not Africa but the world, for its objective was not simply to transform Africa, but to transform Africa by transfonn­ ing the world. Its enemies were internal to be sure; but the internal enemies were seen as agents of foreign powers - the essence of the concept of "neocolonialism". We must according­ ly analyze the emergence of the movement for African Unity in terms of the world system, for it was the changing state of this system that made it impossible for the movement to gain and then lose its freedom to manoeuvre. 1 Wallerstein's determination to pursue his examination of the world­ system that originates the Third World sufferings leads him away from the positivistic sociology towards the opposite paradigm. He borrows concepts and explanatory mechanism from Lenin and other scholars on imperialism.2 Generally, this current of thought rejects the notion that states are independent actors but views the peripheral areas as subject to the demand for raw materials from the centre. In W allerstein' s Modern World-System trilogy (1974, 1980, 1989) and Historical Capitalism (1983) much effort has been made to describe how development and underdevelopment evolve around the 'networks of material exchanges'. At the heart of capitalism lies the logic of 'capital accumulation' where wealth is accumulated through profits from commodity exchanges.3 The global inequality is characterised by the 'centripetal' in form of 1 Ragin and Chirot p. 282 (italics mine). Later he expands the idea and comes to a conclusion that "[t]he states do not develop and cannot be understood except within the context of development of the world-system". (Wallerstein, MWS, p. 67). 2 See Ragin and Chirot p. 289, and Chritopher Chase-Dunn, Global Formation: Structures of the World-Economy. (Oxford: Basil Blackwell, 1989) p. 3. 3 Wallerstein, Historical Capitalism pp. 13-17. 16 commodity exchange. "That is to say, [commodity chains] have tended to move from peripheries of the capitalist world-economy to the centers or cores".1 Thus far, Wallerstein's point resembles that of the Imperialism and Dependency theorists. In addition, W allerstein' s underlying of the conflict of interests and crisis in capitalism caused by rivalries in the core is completely in agreement with Marxism.2 Unlike Lenin and the dependentistas, Wallerstein does not appear antagonistic to the powerful core because his focus is on the system mechanism. Exploitation is a natural phenomena of the capitalist world-system in which those who do not appropriate surplus to reinvest will be punished by the system. It is the system that creates inequality. "Hence some areas 'progress' and other 'regress' .... The key factor to note is that within a capitalist world-economy, all states cannot 'develop' simultaneously by definition. Since the system functions by virtue of unequal core and peripheral regions".3 With this argument, he proposes the world-system as the unit of analysis4 and the transformation of the world-economy as the only answer to global inequalities. Wallerstein stands firm against the advocacy of "stages" of capitalism. For him, it is the single past-present (and future) time span of the life of the global 1 W allerstein, ibid, p. 30. 2 Ragin and Chirot, p. 295. 3 W allerstein, "The present state of the debate ... " p. 61. 4 Ibid. 17 system. 1 Wallerstein's periodization of the modem world-system into the origins of the European world-economy (MWS), mercantilism and the consolidation of the European world-economy (MWS II) and the second era of great expansion of the capitalist world-economy (MWS III) is merely a confirmation of a similar patterns of the rises and falls of core countries in various cycles in history. Some variables may change, for example, textiles might represent an advanced industry in the sixteenth century but may no longer be so, yet the logic behind the state struggling for better positions in the world hierarchy still holds true. In other words, history is not unilinear, rather, it is a circle of capitalism that governs every movement in the world-economy. Addressing problems at the level of 'totality' so that all possible influences can be identified is one of Wallerstein's strength2 ; however, it poses him, and social scientists after him, big challenges. It eliminates any possibility for conducting a research by comparing the world-system to another. It further encumbers the researcher with the multiplicity of data that go beyond one's ability to master. W allerstein transcends the first obstacle by turning to history and avoids the second by relying on secondary sources mostly from one school of history that shares a broad world view. He traces the history of capitalism in the framework of Marxist historiography and acts as 'a user rather than a creator of historical work' 3 in the sense that he bases his argument on other people's finished research products. As earlier mentioned, the historical work of the like-minded school that he relies on is 1 W allerstein, MWS, p. 7. 2 Ragin and Chirot, "The World System of Immanuel Wallerstein ... " p. 307. 3 Ragin and Chirot, p. 288. 18 French Anna.Les school of Fernand Braudel.1 The use of concrete historical knowledge to explain social structures pioneered in the United States by Wallerstein made his work very appealing to young American social scientists who no longer revered functionalist positivism.2 It should be noted, however, that Wallerstein's interpretation of historical facts is occasionally criticised as inaccurate or one-sided. 3 "W allerstein' s approach emphasizes the interaction between the historicity of socio-economic systems and their deep structural or essential elements".4 As a social scientist, he uses deductive method to turn diversified historical facts into a comprehensible model. This is where Wallerstein's work differs from that of historians. In his MWS trilogy, Wallerstein discusses the historical development of the world capitalism centred in Europe since the 16th century showing his inclination towards generalisation and apprehension of 'regular macrosociological laws'. "W allerstein diverges profoundly from the Annales school in his choice of explanatory concepts. His central problem, to explain the origin and persistence of global inequality, dictates the use of explanatory concepts that are comparably global in scope".5 Femand Braudel himself regards Wallerstein as "a little too systematic".6 1 Ragin and Chirot p. 288; and Chase-Dunn, Global Formation, p. 2. 2 Ragin and Chirot, p. 278. 3 See, for example, Book Reviews by Ted N. Margadant and by Joel Mokyr under the same heading, "Wallerstein, The Modem World System m, 1989" Theory and Society, 20: 6, (The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1991) pp. 891-895 and 895-899 respectively; and Ragin and Chirot, p. 292. 4 Chase-Dunn p. 300. 5 Ragin and Chirot p. 288. 6 See Chase-Dunn, Global Formation, p. 14. 19 Although the Marxist influence and Annales historical school are usually mentioned in most studies of Wallerstein's World-System perspective, his non-Marxian economic concept is not as profoundly analyzed. Among the few who do, Robert Brenner labels Wallerstein as "neo­ Smithian", an accusation that might be shared by anyone who stands further left. For critics, Wallerstein's "view of economic development is quantitative, revolving around : (1) the growth in size of the system itself through expansion; (2) the rearrangement of the factors of production through regional specialization to achieve greater efficiency; (3) the transfer of surplus" .1 Unlike Marxism, Wallerstein's concept of capitalist economic development places "production for profit in the market " in the central assertion. Brenner also correctly argues that Wallerstein shares the same belief with Adam Smith who views the level of wealth as generated by the degree of development of trade2 and that " ... Wallerstein, implicitly or explicitly equates capitalism with a trade-based division of labor".3 Not mentioned by Brenner, however, is that when compared to economic writings of Milton Friedman of the Chicago School of Economics, W allerstein' s work appears to borrow some interpretations from monetarism. He explains the wage drops 1 Robert Brenner, "The Origins of Capitalist Development .. " p. 58. 2 Brenner, p. 60. 3 Not all aspects of Brenner's criticism are still hold undisputedly true (See Chase­ Dunn, pp. 17-18 and Daniel Garst, p. 469), but I agree with Brenner in this point. 20 in England in the 16th century1 in a familiar monetarist argument, if not term. It sounds like 'the oversupply of money caused inflation that reduced real wages which were fixed (by custom, contract, or statute)'. At the same time, in the declining northern Italy, wages were still set relatively high even while the rate of surplus accumulation was decreasing2, in other words there was a time lag for economic reality to reach the stage of recognition, the taking of action and the lag in effect of policy. This 'time lag' is also the argument of Friedman on the inappropriateness of government interventionist policy. From time to time, readers might come across Wallerstein's mentioning of mobility of capital, wages reduced by inflation3 and the danger of huge government budget directed towards non-profitable activities.4 Though his main point is to attack inequalities created by the world-capitalism, many of his concluding statements are derived from his contemporary 'liberal' ways of interpreting economic relations. But Wallerstein cannot be too monetarist. He believes inflation has a positive function in capitalism development. "It was nonetheless a method of taxing the politically weakest sectors to provide a capital accumulation fund which could then be invested by someone . ... [l]nflation encouraged [savings and] investment".5 Like 1 MWS, p. 81. 2 Ibid. 3 Wallerstein. "America and the World: Today, Yesterday, and Tomorrow" Theory and Society. 21: 1, February 1992, p. 12. " MWS, p. 196. 5 MWS: 83. 21 Keynes, he attributes growths mainly to investments, and also like Keynes, he proposes governmental active roles in fighting recession and in economic expansion. W allerstein' s inclination towards the making use of history and economic concepts almost makes people forget the fact that he is actually a sociologist. Waller­ stein has shown his departure from the mainstream sociologists before him since 1974 and strongly attacks the modem social scientists whose aim is to II achieve quantification of research findings 11 • 1 Still, he toes the line of modem social sciences that there are regular laws that apply over all time and across societies and not that each situation is explainable only by its unique history.2 What distinguishes Wallerstein as a prominent modem sociologist is the strengthening of his generalisation with historical interpreta­ tions As seen by Chase-Dunn, another World-System theorist, 11Wallerstein's work is consciously located ... at a midpoint which is more historical ... , and yet which is more generalizing than that of most historians. 3 By synthesizing polarised ideas from various disciplines, Wallerstein discovers the structure of the whole system. The whole that does not mean just the assembled parts.4 1 MWS, p. 8. 2 Ragin and Chirot, p. 284. 3 Chase-Dunn, pp. 13-14. 4 MWS, p. 8. 22 Key Assertions The main point of his assertions is that societies are linked to one another in the context of a larger network of material exchanges and that the network of interdependent subunits is constituted in a systemic way. World capitalist economy developed as the global commodity trade centred in Europe prospered since 16 th century, and repetitive patterns of significant historical phenomena have been extracted to formulate the general law of the unique era. Wallerstein observes the aggravated inequality where the world subsystems divided into the prosper and the loser caused by the general law of capital accumulation through trade and through profits generated from investments. Toe absence of supranational authority to harness the market forces serves to "reinforce the existing system of stratification".1 Here, weak states are so vulnerable to external forces, but the governments that are clever enough to act in accordance with the capitalist mechanism can improve their positions and increase their room to manoeuvre at the others' expenses.2 Capitalism is not the only world-system he mentions but the only one he profoundly associates himself with.3 It is the system that replaces the world empire - a system in which strong centres dominate unitary political entities and materials were less commodified. In the capitalist world-economy, there is no single encompassing 1 W allerstein, "Dependence in an Interdependent World- The Limited Possibilities of Transformation within the Capitalist World-Economy" in The Capitalist World­ Economy: Essays by Immanuel Wallerstein. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1979) p. 66; and MWS, pp. 127, 134. 2 MWS II, p. 179. 3 Ragin and Chirot, p. 285. , 23 state apparatus but there are multiple societies, multiple states and a single economic division of labour.1 The reproduction of the division of labor depends on the 'unequal exchange' between the core, producing high-waged products, and the periphery, producing low-waged products. The unequal exchange within the division of labour is necessary for profit accumulation in the core.2 "[C]apitalism is the only mode of production in which maximiza.ti,on of surplus is rewarded per se. 3 Because profit can become capital, it is used "to accumulate more of the same"4. "Capitalism involves in addition structures and institutions which reward primarily that subsequent of the owners and controllers who use the surplus value ... for further investment. The structure of the market ensures that those who do not accumulate capital (but merely consume surplus value) lose out economically over time to those who do accumulate capital".5 The more he discovers the logic of capitalism, the more he dislikes the system. That is because "far from being a 'natural' system, historical capitalism is a potently absurd one. One accumulates capital in order to accumulate more capital. Capitalists are like white mice on a treadmill, running ever faster in order to run still faster. "6 But undesirable as it may seem, capitalist world-economy now really exists; and, as long as it continues to exist, national development is still a zero-sum game 1 Chase-Dunn. p. 2. 2 W allerstein, "Dependence in an Interdependent World ... ", p. 71. 3 Wallerstein, "Class Conflict in the Capitalist World-Economy" in The Capitalist World-Economy, p.285. 4 Wallerstein, Historical Capitalism, p. 14. s W allerstein, ibid. 6 Wallerstein, Historical Capitalism, p. 40. 24 understandably only through the examination of the interaction between the state policies and systemic trends. Since 1974, Wallerstein devotes his academic life for the construction of a theory about the capitalist world-economy, which, he says, has come into being since the 16th century and now dominated the relationships between states as well as non-state actors. As earlier mentioned; Wallerstein's MWS trilogy depicts the characteristics of the development of the capitalism in three major periods in history. That does not mean he omits to address the capitalistic nature of the contemporary world. W allerstein chooses to implement his grand scheme through various essays and speeches. 2 It appears that he tries to build the foundation for his theory by proving it "heuristically" with his research on historical world-system, and then to emphasize the versatility of the theory by applying to various political and economic issues in the postwar era Together, his MWS trilogy and collections of essays confirm three salient feathers that are inherent to a world-system and the capitalist world-economy, namely, the interplay between politics and economics, perpetual structural hierarchy, and economic cycles. For W allerstein, the only raison d'etat is the interstate system. As the nature of the world capitalism requires a single division of labour, states in the system 1 Pages 15 - 17. 2 For examples, those collected in The Capitalist World-Economy. 1979, and The Politics of the World-Economy. 1984. 25 are accordingly an "organization" that is created to facilitate this division of labour. 1 "The fundamental role of the state as an institution in the capitalist world-economy is to ... reduce the 'freedom' of the market".2 State system "encrusts, enforces and exaggerates" the pattern of specialisation which may be initiated by market conditions.3 Within its boundary, a state regulates the market pattern and transform wealth from one group to another through tax and subsidy measures; beyond its jurisdiction, a state always try to impose its will on other states.4 Not only the state can affect economic accumulation, the level of economic success of a state can determine the strength of the state machinery. The tax revenue enables the state to have a larger and a more efficient civil bureaucracy and army which in tum leads to greater tax revenue - a process that continues in spiral form. "5 In a country where capital is concentrated, there are "both the fiscal base and the political motivation to create relatively strong state- machineries", among whose many capacities is that of ensuring that the state machineries of other countries remain relatively weaker and unable to reject the trade and production patterns imposed upon by strong states.6 "illtimately, of course, political and economic measures are linked See W allerstein, "Household Structures and Labour-Force Formation in the Capitalist World-Economy" in Etienne Balibar and Immanuel Wallerstein, Race. Nation. Class: Ambiguous Identities. (London: Verso, 1991) p. 122. 2 Ibid. 3 Ibid. 4 Ibid. 5 MWS, p. 356. 6 W allerstein, Historical Capitalism, p. 32. 26 reciprocally because productive efficiency makes possible the strengthening of the state and the strengthening of the state further reinforces efficiency through extramarket means.1 Accordingly the global community always comprises strong and weak states. A strong state with an efficient bureaucracy usually can intervene the domestic market to maximize the production efficiency and create a favourable international climate for its external trade to increase profit, and thus capital accumulation, for its own entrepreneurs. On the contrary, a weak state may be destined to produce primary or less sophisticated products to serve the demand of domineering states, and at the same time forced to open its market for finished products from those countries. It is therefore impossible for every state machinery to be equally strong because that would undermine the power of transnational economic entities and the world division of labour would be impeded. Neither can all state be equally weak "[t]or in such a case the capitalist strata would have no mechanisms to protect their interests, guaranteeing their property tights, assuring monopolies, spreading losses among the larger population, etc."2 The system can only reproduce itself in this inequality. The realisation of the disparity of state power leads to another crucial aspect of the World-System Theory, that is the perpetual hierarchy in the interstate system. Roughly, the countries where capital accumulation is relatively high and whose state machineries are strong enough to exert their influence beyond their 1 MWS II, p. 113. 2 MWS, p. 355. ..:.. 27 jurisdictions constitute the "core" zone, and the countries with the opposite characteris­ tics the "periphery". The two categories are only slightly different from the classic dependency dichotomization. What is Wallerstein's initiation is the concept of semiperiphery. 1 He emphasizes the indispensability of the semiperiphery due to its political function of stabilising the otherwise extreme bi-polar world-system. "The existence of the third category means precisely that the upper stratum is not faced with the unified opposition of all the others because the middle stratum is both exploited and exploiter. "2 The capitalist world-system has always comprised and will always comprise the three strata. Shifts in rank order are normal but the hierarchical system remains unchanged. This hierarchy and the shifts within the hierarchy is understandable within the context of economic cycles. A cycle includes a period of expansion and then a period of downturn. "Periods of expansion of the world-economy are relatively easy to summariz.e. Production is expanding overall and in most places. Employment is extensive. Population is growing. Prosperity is the sign of the time." 3 It is a period when virtually most states can enjoy a positive rate of economic development On the contrary, the period of contraction is much more complicated and meaningful.4 To say 1 The semiperiphery is a unique and interesting concept which 1s worth elaborating. The notion will be reviewed in depth in chapter 3. 2 Wallerstein, "The Rise and Future Demise of the World Capitalist System: Concepts for Comparative Analysis", in The Capitalist World-Economy. p. 23. 3 MWS II, p. 129. 4 The concept of world economic contraction deserves further investigation in the next chapter because of its complexity as well as its direct relevancy to the case study. 28 simply, "a downturn is a slowdown of activities, not a stoppage. It represents, ... , a set of obstacles in the search for profit.. .. "1 Usually at this moment occur major shifts in interstate hierarchy. Because, in tough time, those who are less competitive can be easily "weeded out", and at the same time, "[t]he strong not only survive; they frequently thrive".2 In this contraction period, a few states that pursue 'intelligent state policies" can outperform the rest and improve their positions in the world-system, and the states that pursue unwise policies may shrink.3 The period from 1600 to 1750 was an example of a 'relative stagnation'.4 The diminishing effective demand was unfavourable to the high-waged core and thus the core producers were forced by the circumstance to exploit their subordinates more directly and severely. In such a condition, the majority of peripheral .areas such as Poland were the ones who most suffered while only Sweden and Prussia could step up from peripheral areas to join the semiperipheral states. Also at that time the semiperipheral England and France could challenge the Dutch hegemony and became core countries themselves. These reshuffles were all attributed to each state's strategies conducted within a specific setting of global economic downturn. These changes emphasize the key role of states in the world hierarchy and the single division of labour. Wallerstein contends that "the state was an essential l Ibid. 2 Ibid. 3 See MWS II, p. 179. 4 MWS II, p. 241. 29 instrument used by the Dutch bourgeoisie to consolidate an economic hegemony that they had won originally in the sphere of production and had then extended to the commerce and finance. The state of competing core and semiperipheral powers would be equally essential instruments in the process of destroying this hegemony". 1 At a lower level, Sweden in the 17th century represented another success of strong state machinery and its policies. The country was in hapless conditions which included small population thus small financial base for its state machinery and the lack of vast resources 'to sustain its position in the long run'. 2 However, Sweden could maximize its limited resources for national development, first by continuously strengthening the state machinery3 and then by choosing to build up industries based on its natural resources.4 Swedish state consciously developed the country's specialisation in production and export of 3 main resources: copper, iron and tar, when there were demands from the core and other semiperipheries in Europe without strong competitors. At first, the businesses seemed to be under 'foreign domination' but the government also succeeded in "nationalizing" the industries "by ennobling the entrepreneurs".5 The state used its three quasimonopolies to create a strong bargaining position, without which the political-military expansion would have been unattainable. 1 MWS II, p. 65. 2 MWS II, p. 217. 3 Strong state machinery in this sense means strong vis-a-vis any social group within the state enough to pursue its determined policies as well as the state's military or political power vis-a-vis other states. See MWS, p. 355. 4 MWS II, p. 217. 5 MWS II, p. 210. 30 The political-military expansion in tum made it possible to develop the transformation industries". 1 In short, what Sweden at the time did proves that an intelligent weak state with an efficient state machinery can make the most use of foreign investors, grasp the opportunity of the market open to it by the rich core and then increase its wealth by exploiting weaker neighbours. 2 Conclusion Wallerstein can raise endless examples to show that his theoretical premises are sound and the world-system framework renders a useful systematic interpretation of current affairs.3 "Once these are accepted, a series of assertions about the contemporary world can be made. A large number of situations, from Stalin's excesses to the Cambodian tragedy and the rise of Solidarity in Poland, can be explained by the exploitative nature of the capitalist world system and its contradicti­ ons". 4 Many of his analogies are beyond the scope of this study, for example, the socialist movements, the road to hegemony, the class-formations, and etc. Still, the logic of argument and the three main points: the interplay between politics and economics, the perpetual structural hierarchy, and economic cycles, can be directly analyzed within the context of New Zealand's energy policy. 1 MWS II, p. 211. 2 Prussia was another interesting case of a country that could upgrade itself in the world hierarchy but the scenario was difficult and may be less relevant to the topic to be discussed later in this thesis. The details of Prussian rise are mentioned in MWS II, pp. 225-36. 3 See Ragin and Chirot, p. 305. 4 Ragin and Chirot, p. 305. 31 Whether W allerstein' s conclusion about the undesirability of capitalism and the need to transform it is acceptable or not, his vision of social sciences certainly earns him the reputation. The World-System perspective suggests that one should not let disciplinary boundaries hinder one's investigation and that any problems should be addressed in 'totality' and in historical context.1 In the broader context of the world­ economy, states, firms and political groups are dynamically playing their roles. In the light of such perspective, the discussion in the following chapter will elaborate the interplay between politics and economics by highlighting the roles of states and multinational corporations, the concept of semiperiphery and its relevance to the status of New Zealand, and the features of economic downturn that affects the world in general and New Zealand in particular. The broad overview of the World-System perspective already mentioned in this chapter and three core concep~ to be discussed in the next chapter will serve as the conceptual framework for the analysis of New Zealand's energy policy in the latter part of this study. 1 Ragin and Chirot, p. 307. 32 ID. Semiperipheral States and Multinational Corporations in Cyclical Economic Trends The three core concepts from the world-system perspective mentioned in the previous chapter constitute the basic explanation of the direction of New Zealand's energy resource development during the 1970s and 80s as well as the structural constraints in implementing economic policy. The first concept, the interplay between politics and economics is the most crucial foundation for further arguments. Within the system of single division of labour, market forces and the logic of capital accumulation govern any decision in economic activities. At the same time, those economic activities must be carried out within the jurisdiction of one state or another whose policies can shape the pattern of surplus-value extraction of any capitalist enterprise. This mutual effect between the state and non-state actors is most dramatic in the realm of the semiperiphery where the state plays the central role in the national development. The other two concepts, the semiperiphery and economic downturns, emphasize the interrelated role of the state and economic actors. Together they compose a picture of New Zealand as a semiperipheral country moving on waves of economic cycles. That is the first step of analyzing the country's rationale for policy making. The purpose of this chapter is to elaborate the significance of the role of the state and the multinationals in shaping the path of a country's development In doing so, it is necessary to prove that New Zealand is and has always been in the semiperiphery, where experience of national capital accumulation can be explained by global economic cycles. 33 States and MNCs: the Interplay between Politics and Economics That the capitalist economy occupies the entire globe and penetrates all national boundaries does not imply that it expands unassisted nor unhampered by political forces within the existing multistate system. In the capitalist world-system, the producers cannot rely solely on their ability to produce efficiently to extract a huge amount of surplus-value. Success in the system "is based on a combination of effective state power and competitive advantage in production" .1 In the first place, firms depend on the interstate system to provide a relatively stable world order conducive to profit­ making activities.2 Then firms also require state guarantee of internal order and property rights. Moreover, owner-producers usually wish the state to perform two key functions. One is that they want the state to intervene to expand or to limit the "freedom" of the market, whichever one will most increase profits. The other is that they wish the state to act, actively or passively, "to help them extract a larger percentage of the surplus than they would do otherwise, ... "3 The state is therefore, in the world-system perspective, a political institution that is indispensable for capital accumulation within the world-economy. States usually perform the function that the system requires and that the finns expect them to. 1bere can be two explanations as to why states act in accordance with the need of local or transnational enterprises motivated by profit-seeking. Either they pursue their courses of conduct deliberately or they are forced to do so. A state 1 Chase-Dunn, Global Formation, p. 140. 2 Ibid, p. 75. 3 MWS II, p. 113. 34 may eagerly become an "aggressive capitalist state" by not merely waiting "for the entrepreneurs to succeed so that it can tax them" but also "create opportunity to entrepreneurs and sometimes it takes on the entrepreneurial role itself'. 1 These kinds of policies should result from a realisation of the necessity to compete in the dynamic interstate system. A state that wishes to enhance its position within the world hierarchy should deliberately assist the local firms to maximize their profits in the world market And if the state depends on overseas capital, it has to make the most use of that capital and prevent massive outflows of money in terms of profit repatriation. "Neither local entrepreneurs nor the state begrudge the multinationals the right to earn profits. High profits are fine as long as they are reinvested in local accumulation".2 Recently Japanese and Brazilian governments represent this type of capitalist states. 3 In the past, British interventionism in the world market and the British government's indirect role in the so-called Industrial Revolution reflected another successful story of a state pursuit of profit maximization. 4 It should be noted, however, that the willingness of state to promote local accumulation does not guarantee its success. A state with less competent apparatus or with limited resources may try to create beneficial atmosphere for its entrepreneurs but may lose against powerful MNCs. 1 Chase-Dunn, p. 120. 2 Peter Evans, Dependent Development: The Alliance of Multinational, State, and Local Capital in Brazil. (New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1979) p. 195. 3 See Evans, ibid, p. 79, and Chase-Dunn, Global Formation. p. 120. 4 MWSID. 35 There have been some states that choose to neglect the logic of capital accumulation and profit maximization at the global level, but because the world capitalist economy prevails, most states cannot resist the trend. Some states, such as China and the Soviet Union in the past, have tried to "cut themselves off from the larger world-system and to create a closed internal economy' 1 and some, such as Chile, Mexico, and the Philippines, during the 1970s, may have tried to mobilise overwhelming resources to serve short-term political purposes irrespective of the requirements of the economy. For most of those countries, after certain years of perseverance they are brought into the world capitalist line either by domestic upheaval or the World Bank/IMF conditions or both. Because resisting the capitalistic current did not produce prosperity ( though joining the tide might not either) many socialist, nationalist and fascist states have made a sharp tum towards the fashionable capitalism, however unwillingly. It is also possible that a state's political system is just too obsolete. The state political formation then may be forced to transform by global economic necessities to catch up with the latter. In this category too, examples can be found throughout history of capitalist development. As cited by W allerstein, the transition of French state from feudalism to capitalism marked by the French Revolution was one of the examples of forces unleashed to generate the political institution that observes the rules of the game.2 Japan can be regarded as another example that indicates the 1 Chase-Dunn, Global Formation, p. 119. Many of these states are credited as 'antisystemic' by Wallerstein. 2 MWSID. 36 transformation of a feudalist imperialist to a capitalist empire. The Japan reform process is usually labelled the "Meiji Restoration", the political process which covered most of the latter half of the 19th century. Within the process, the first decades witnessed the dismantling of the power of the feudal lords and the 1880s was the decade of judicial reform. The restoration paved the way for more efficient accumulation for the Japanese state by giving judicial endorsement for landowners to appropriate high levels of surplus from farmers. The landowners were, through the reform, liberated from the repression of the feudal oligarchs and therefore could keep most of the profits for further reinvestment. 1 Here, too, the adjustment of political system into a more progressive form serves the need of global capitalism. Since states are to be a political machinery to facilitate surplus-value extraction, the point is whether they can perform the task well enough to preserve or enhance their position in the world-system or so unsuccessfully that they fall victim of external exploitation. The answer lies in the state's "strength". A strong state can protect its capitalists from the risks or uncertainties in the world market.2 In the non~ core areas, where the local bourgeoisie are too weak to manipulate the economic situation, a strong state with a highly centralized and extensive state apparatus is needed.3 1 For details see Jon Halliday, A Political History of Japanese Capitalism. (New York: Pantheon Books, 1975) pp. 3-61. 2 Chase-Dunn, p. 239. 3 See Daniel Garst, "Wallerstein and His Critics", p. 481; Wallerstein, (1979) "Dependence in an Interdependent World ... ", p.72; and Chase-Dunn, pp. 140-41. 37 "Strong" state does not mean an authoritarian one. According to W allerstein, the strength of state is determined by 5 factors. First is its ability to help its owner-producers compete in the world market. Second is its influence over other states. Third is the ability to perform the above-mentioned first and second tasks, namely to compete with and influence over others, at least cost Fourth is an effective bureaucracy. And the last element which is the key to the others is its ability to articulate a balance of interests among owner-producers so that its dominant class "forms the stable underpinning of such a state". 1 According to these guidelines, states with different status must be assessed differently. In core economies where the owner-producers are competent, a compact but effective bureaucracy that imposes lower tax burden together with a government that can exert influence to create a favourable atmosphere for their owner­ producers represent a strong state. But while a core state can save the country's resources for use in private sectors and help its producers gain an advantage, quite the opposite is true for a non-core state.2 In the semiperiphery, the owner-producers are not in a position to compete with transnational actors without "extra-market" assistance from the state. However, for both cases, it can be said that "[a] state is stronger than another state to the extent that it can maximize the condition for profit making by its entrepreneurs ... within the world economy."3 1 MWS II, p.113. 2 Garst, p. 481. 3 Wallerstein, "World Networks and the Politics of the World-Economy" in Wallerstein, The Politics of the World-Economy: The States. the Movements and the Civilizations. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1984), p. 5. 38 If Sweden and Germany in the 17th century reflected the success of peripheral areas that acquired those five elements and then became semiperipheral,1 a showcase for the 20th century can be Brazil, whose ascending to the intermediate level of development is analyzed by Peter Evans. 2 Evans extracts six components constituting the bargaining power for a semiperipheral state against MNCs: - valuable natural resources - extensive local market - exploitable labor force - capacity of state apparatus - technical expertise and - control over relevant information. 3 Brazil undoubtedly possesses all six components and has a potential to manipulate foreign investments for her own development. In the same manner as Sweden in the 17th century, Brazil state utilises her potential for national accumulation. The country promotes an 'export-oriented growth' policy and attracts multinational capital for its industrialisation. Dependent on foreign capital as she is, Brazil maximizes her economic development by creating the 'triple alliance' of MNC, the government 1 See page 28-29 in the previous chapter. 2 See footnote 2 page 34. 3 Evans, p. 44. 39 and local bourgeoisie as the fundamental force for local accumulation of capital. 1 The government's active role in harnessing foreign forces and transferring control and know-how to national capitalists is very significant in this regard. This work of Peter Evans confirms Wallerstein's assertion of the key role of the state in enhancing the status of non-core areas. The relation of semiperipheral state and MNC is twofold. On the one hand they help each other to realize a mutual benefit; on the other hand they have conflicting interests. Multinational corporations need the location in which they can make a profit. As long as the host state "does not undertake any efficacious measures to reduce its world-wide profit", the MNC can act in harmony with the country's development strategy.2 For instance, when Saudi Arabia raised its oil price in 1973 hurting many importers, Exxon did not feel threatened and could get along with the country's new stance. 3 But sometimes corporation profit contradicts local interests. Some projects that are not profitable in themselves but create a base for subsequent projects or sustainable resource management may be good from a national point of view but absurd from the multinational perspective.4 Because various states compete for overseas capital, normally (especially in the period of economic expansion) MNCs 1 Ibid, p. 32. 2 Wallerstein, "Semiperipheral Countries and the Contemporary World Crisis", p. 103. 3 Ibid. 4 Evans, p. 195. 40 "make great profits from their ability to play off states against one another. States compete to offer the best deals to attract the capital investments of the transnational". 1 States with less competence may have to sacrifice some long-term benefits for the sake of immediate capital. Both the state and MNCs played the central roles in New Zealand's energy development in recent decades. This particularly held true in I970s-80s when the involvement of MNCs in the country's large development projects posed serious challenges. The argument so far, which is extracted from W allerstein and other world­ system theorists, may help to understand the interaction between the two actors and the forthcoming discussion will assess the interaction through the analysis of the political status of the two actors and their historical backgrounds. At the crossroads, the strength of the New 2.ealand state according to her international position should be considered. In W allerstein' s classification, New Zealand belongs to the category of "Old white Commonwealth" with Canada, Australia and South Africa, which forms a part of the semiperiphery.2 New Zealand's development as a 'semi-colonial country' is discussed specifically by David Bedggood and Warwick Armstrong. Both underline the dependence of New Zealand on imperialist countries as the main impediment for real development.3 The same basic 1 Chase-Dunn, p.75. 2 Wallerstein, "Semiperipheral ... " , p.100. 3 David Bedggood, "New Zealand's Semi-Colonial Development: A Marxist View", pp. 285-89; and Warwick Armstrong, "New Zealand: Imperialism, Class and Uneven Development", pp. 297-303. Both are articles in The Australia & New Zealand 41 idea is shared by non-Marxist Bruce Jesson who regards New Zealand as a "satellite society - an appendage of Britain and still dependent on the major industrial powers". 1 There is virtually a consensus that New Zealand's colonial background determines the structural imbalance of the country in the late 20th century. Founded as a colony to serve economic needs of Britain, New Zealand's early development was made possible by the state and "borrowed money". In this regard, the New Zealand state can be said to be 'created' in order to facilitate international accumulation. In most of the 19th century, New Zealand economy depended upon wool growing and scavenger industry (gold, timber, whaling, sealing).2 Land acquisition was funded by foreign loans. 3 Both economic facets of the settlement enable accumulation in the home country by reducing wage within the British Isles and by accumulating interests from loans.4 These reproductions of capital required a colonial 'state' to maintain law and order and to "guarantee a secure return" of investments from abroad. 5 In New Zealand's early history, funds for economic development were channelled through the state because "from the point of view of the British investors Journal of Sociology. 14:3 (part two) October 1978 ( Place of publication not stated). 1 Bruce Jesson, Behind the Mirror Glass. (Auckland: Penguin, 1985) p. 30. 2 Jesson, Behind the Mirror Glass, p. 19. 3 Armstrong" New Zealand :Imperialism, ... ", p. 299. • Bedggood, "New Zealand's Semi-Colonial Development ... ", pp. 287-88. s See Bedggood, ibid, p. 289. 42 the state was a better risk than local businessmen".1 The growth of New Zealand economy amidst the international division of labour came "largely through the benign intervention of the state which often played the role of financier in nineteenth-century New Z.ealand. The state bought and sold land, constructed railways, settled farmers and financed immigration. "2 Therefore, in the absence of the industrial capitalist class, "it could be said that the state pioneered New Zealand capitalism". 3 Both the extensive role of the state as well as the lack of its industrial capitalist class in the colonial economy are addressed by most authors; it is , however, the interpretation that differs among various authors. lesson simply attributes the lack to the unavailability of time for evolution and to the tradition of the private sectors of leaning on the pioneering role of the government 4 But Annstrong believes the New Zealand capitalist class had evolved but could not get a chance to develop. He confirms the existence of an industrial base for New Zealand in the 19th century as "[t]here was emerging an industrial sector, capable of producing and exporting a wide range of goods - from textiles to fann machinery and dredges - of supplying New Zealand rail network with locally-made locomotives and of shipping its goods in locally based ships."5 But the emergence was later blocked by the country's incorporation 1 Jesson, p.30. 2 lesson, p. 101. 3 Ibid. 4 See Jesson, ibid. 5 Armstrong, 1988, p. 299. 43 into the British-dominated international economy. New Z.ealand then became a colony specialised in temperate foodstuffs for the European market.1 As a result instead of having "an independent, autocentric industrial capitalist" and an industrial capitalist class as its impetus, New Zealand pursued the path of "dependent, uneven developm­ ent"2 which was intensified by the consolidation of the 'comprador class' .3 Therefore, for Armstrong, the symptoms are closely linked to the country's status in the semiperiphery, and the consequence is the reproduction of "monocultural extroverted specialisation in the production of primary raw material for the "mother country" 4 which would affect the country severely later on.5 To support his assertion, Armstrong maintains that neither industrialisation nor independent development of the country occurred even when local capital was available during the prosperous years of 1896-1914. The combination of British imperial dominance and a collaborative mercantile- financial-landed ruling group in New Zealand, many of whom were local managers for British banks and finance houses, guaranteed the colony's full insertion into the world-system of the 19th - and 20th - centuries as a specialist staple producer and exporter in return for the import of British capital, labour and manufactures. In such a scheme there was l Ibid. 2 Ibid, p. 302. 3 Ibid, p. 300. 4 Ibid. 5 Ibid, p. 302. 44 little place for an emergent industrial capitalism, nor for an autocentric pattern of development Instead the colony and later the neo-colony readily assumed its role in the international division of labour as an imperial fann." 1 The pattern remained for almost a century. Even though the Depression of the 30s and the hardship experienced during the Second World War pressured New Zealand to develop and protect its own manufacturing industry,2 the country's dependence on a few agricultural exports was not altered. That was because "[t]he new industries produced for the local market and consumed overseas funds without earning any. This magnified the country's dependence on farming exports .... "3 And that has left New Zealand to become a fragile economy. Even nowadays New Zealand national income and the country's living standards still depend heavily on export earnings which make up around 30% of GDP,4 and the country is still largely dependent on exports of commodities. 5 Armstrong clearly asserts that the "transmitted prosperity" experienced by New Zealand in some periods through the dependence on monocultural export to the imperial centres is far from the real meaning of development For one thing, New 1 Armstrong, p. 301. 2 Jesson, p. 38 and pp. 104-5. 3 Jesson, p. 39. 4 Pat Colgate and Joselyn Stroombergen, A Promise to Pay: New Zealand's Overseas Debt and Country Risk. Research Monograph 58 (Wellington: NZ Institute for Economic Research, 1993) p. 9. 5 Ibid, p. 63. 45 Zealand is, "like the international capitalist peripheries, much more comprehensively affected by [global cyclical] downswings by the very nature of their wholehearted commitment to, and dependence on, external influence". 1 He implies industrialisation as the key to become a developed capitalist nation.2 The idea is in complete agreement with that of Wallerstein who portrays the world division of labour as being sustained by the "unequal exchange" between the core which sells high-wage products and the periphery which depends on low-wage product. 3 Apart from acting as a facilitator of the integration of New Z.ealand into the British-led international division of labour, the New Zealand state was prone to domestic pressure for it did not possess enough strength vis-a-vis the local dominant class. This relative internal weakness reaffirmed New Z.ealand's destiny as a dependent economy. According to the class structure of New Zealand, the dominant class was that of the comprador who played a "mediating role between the local producers of 'staple' for metropolitan markets, and foreign industrial capitalists and investors"4 This class depended on merchant capital or circulatory capital. It was a vital interest for the class to make rapid turnovers and not long-term investments.5 This dominant class still prevails after the Second World War. From then on, "New Zealand has been ruled 1 Armstrong, p. 302. 2 See Armstrong, pp. 209-300. 3 W allerstein, "Dependence ... ", p. 71. • 4 See Armstrong, p. 300. Armstrong borrows the concept of "the comprador class" from Paul Baran. s Ibid. 46 by the comprador mercantile-financial and farming groups which have exercised continuing influence over state power and policies".1 This is the reason why the diversification and the strengthening of the private industrial sectors always fall short of the apparent potential. Had the state decided to pursue policies which differed from those demanded by the imperial market. it could not have done so because the powerful domestic bloc would not permit. Therefore, "as long as the society remains under the direction of the groups whose class interests are best rewarded by acting as intermedi­ aries for the trading and financing of staples-exports in exchange for imported manufactured goods and investment capital, there will be no real move toward the achievement of greater independence". 2 Showing a relative weakness against both the external influences and domestic bloc, the New Zealand state has resolutely led the country into the international division of labour, but passively. This causes mixed results over different periods of time. And the country's performance during these periods should be assessed within the framework of the "semiperipheral" concept. Semiperiphery The concept of semi periphery introduced by W allerstein is now widely accepted in the field of sociology of development but the real meaning of the term is 1 Armstrong, p.301. 2 Ibid, p. 302. 47 still problematic.1 W allerstein is quite clear on the necessity of the world system to be tri-modal and quite decisive in specifying some states as being semiperipheries. However, he proposes no precise rules of classification and that poses a problem for quantitative sociologists who demand empirical tests. To have a clearer idea about the definition and classification of semiperipheral countries, one has to take several related arguments into account. The concept of semiperiphery is initiated by Wallerstein to explain why self-contradicting world capitalism is not tom apart. This group of states depolarizes the system and makes a capitalist world-system run smoothly.2 This middle sector also exploits the periphery and thus diverts the peripheral antagonism from being directed solely towards the core. 3 At the same time it plays a role of peripheral zone in serving the interests of the MNCs from the core. By providing a location for the core capitalists to shift some investments outside the national boundaries to seek comparative advantage,4 it facilitate the reproduction of capitalism at the global scale. In this light, W allersteinian semi periphery is by nature a functional concept. 1 See Chase-Dunn, p. 210. 2 Chase-Dunn, pp. 211, 243; and Wallerstein, "Semiperipheral", p. 21. 3 MWS, p.350. 4 See Wallerstein, "Semiperipheral ... ", p. 97. 48 The lack of accurate classification of the concept has been criticised by Chirot. 1 And attempts have been made to clarify the notion. Snyder and Kick2 apply blockmodel analysis - "an empirically grounded theory of social structure" to the world stratification pattern. They analyze empirical data on four types of international networks: tradeflow, military interventions, diplomatic relations and conjoint treaty memberships of 118 nations from 1955-1970 and find that the regression analyses of the effects of network model "provides strong evidence for a core-semiperiphery­ periphery structure". 3 Steiber4 also tries to test the existence of semi periphery empirically by using import-export data of four commodity classes of 15 groups of nations, and the result follows the same line as that of Snyder and Kick. The two studies offer a good guideline for further analysis. However, when applied specifically to the case of New Zealand they both cause a certain problem - in what category stands New 2'.ealand? Interestingly, Snyder & Kick locate New Zealand within the "periphery" which is probably because the pattern of trade of New 2'.ealand resembles that of the peripheral countries which "are integrated into the world 1 Daniel Chirot, Social Changes in the Twentieth Century. (New York: Harcourt Bruce Janovich, 1977) quoted in David Snyder and Edward L. Kick, "Structural Position in the World System and Economic Growth, 1955-1970: A Multiple-Network Analysis of Transnational Interactions" in American Journal of Sociology. 84: 5 (1979) p. 1101. 2 Ibid, see footnote 4 of this page, pp.1907-1126. 3 Ibid, p. 1096. 4 Steven R. Steiber, "The World System and World Trade: An Empirical Exploration of Conceptual Conflicts" in The Sociological Quarterly 20: 1, Winter 1979. 49 economy only through their trade with the core block .... "1 On the contrary Steiber applies a Frankian criterion that regards the socialist bloc as the semiperiphery and the OECD countries including New Zealand as the core. However, examining Seiber's work may contribute to an argument against placing New Zealand into such stratum. Grouping Australia and New Zealand together, Steiber finds that the two countries together represent an exceptional case of the core states, but he does not go further to investigate the reasons behind the exception. According to the normal pattern, core countries are supposed to export secondary goods to and import primary goods from non-core countries. Instead, the group of Australia and New Zealand, in 1973, exported primary goods to and imported secondary goods from the semiperiphery. It is also possible that if the author examined only the data of New Zealand alone, without grouping with Australia, the figure would more strongly confirm New Zealand's position in the semi periphery, judging from the pattern of trade. A clearer and simpler way has been suggested by Peter Evans (1979). He realizes the imprecision of the theoretical concept of the semiperiphery2 and proposes to circumvent the problem by having a crude classification of the international strata based on GNP figures as appears in table 3.1. 3 1 Snyder & Kick, p. 1114. They admit the arbitrarily determination of block classification and deny the location of countries in blocks as definitive nor precise. 2 Evans, p. 291. 3 Ibid, p. 292. Table 3.1 Crude Classification of the International System Circa 1970 GNP greater than US $ 100 billion GNP between $30 billion and$ 100 billion GNP between $ 5 billion and $ 30 billion GNP less than $ 5 billion Based on IBRD. 1973. (1) U.S. U.S.S.R. Japan Germany (Fed.Rep.) France United Kingdom (3) Italy Canada Germany (Dern.Rep.) Poland Spain Sweden Czechoslovakia Australia (5) Belgium Switzerland Denmark Romania Finland Norway Netherlands Hungary Greece Austria New Zealand Venezuela Argentina Israel etc. (7) Ireland Iceland Luxembourg Hongkong Kuwait etc. (2) China (4) India Brazil Mexico (6) South Africa Yugoslavia Pakistan Iran Turkey Indonesia Korea Philippines Chile Colombia Egypt Nigeria Peru Bulgaria Thailand Taiwan (8) Roughly 120 Third World countries. 50 51 He classifies boxes 1 and 2 as core zones, box 8 as periphery and boxes 3-6 as semiperiphery.1 From the criterion, New Zealand is clearly situated in the semi periphery. Wallerstein himself specifies New Zealand as a semiperiphery, not because of any statistical data but because of the country's structural relation to the core and peripheral countries. As already mentioned, New Zealand's dependence on core states is apparent. But does the unbalanced pattern of trade push New Zealand into the periphery category? Here the country's relation with peripheral areas, many of which are Pacific islands, points to another direction. Quite consistent to the role of intermediary suggested by W allerstein, New Zealand acted as an agent for distribution of manufactured products into the Pacific island region. "New Zealand's reexport trade increased after the [First World W]ar and reached the large total of£ 1.2 million in 1921.2 Moreover, the country started importing raw material from peripheral zones to serve its own industrial activities since the late 19th century. "In 1884 an important new industry - sugar refining - was begun in Auckland. Sugar made from cane grown in Fiji replaced imports [of refined sugar] from Mauritius.3 1 Ibid, pp. 292-96. 2 M.F. Lloyd Prichard, An Economic History of New 2'.ealand to 1939. (Auckland: Collins Bros.&. Co., 1970), p. 295. 3 Ibid, p. 149. 52 Up to now, the trade between New Zealand and Pacific island countries has been small in amount yet reflects an unbalanced pattern. The Pacific island countries export only a few commodities to New Zealand market, to which most of the exports are primary products. Processed goods comprise only 7% of all Commonwealth Pacific Islands exports to New Zealand. 1 New Zealand became the major source of export earnings for the Cook Islands, Niue and Tokelaus, and in 1960s New Zealand took over 40% of Samoan export.2 The relationship between New Zealand and these Pacific Island countries has been characterised by the latter's dependence on the former. Apart from trade, New Zealand import of migrant labour from the Pacific to support the country's postwar production was obviously another example of exploitation. Normally, in an economy where increasing production induces demands for more labour, migrant workers can be a source of cheap labour which will "obviate the need for employers to increase wages to [ other workers already available in the labour market but become relatively more scarce]" .3 Migrant labourers work for wages as long as the economy demands and become unemployed when there is a shift in the form of industrial production or a cyclical downturn. But employed or not, they 1 Michael Bellam, A Question of Balance: New Zealand Trade in the South Pacific. (Wellington: New Zealand Coalition for Trade and Development, 1980), p. 7. 2 Ibid, p. 14. 3 Robert Miles, Capitalism and Unfree Labour: Anomaly or Necessity?. (New York: Tavistock Publications, 1987), p. 146. 53 are usually deprived of legal status as a citizen, they are excluded from political relations and then become alienated in the society where they come to sell their labour and where the social structure is more complicated than they were brought up in. 1 In such cases, the inferior status of migrant workers shows that they are exploited to serve the benefit of the host economy. The case of New Zealand's import of Polynesian labour force reaffirms this typical trend in the capitalist mode of production. The story can be traced back as far as late 18th century and remains until recently. Polynesian labourers were attracted to the production of salted pork in New Zealand (and Tahiti), one of the earliest industries in the Pacific, to supply settlements in Australia in 1788. 2 In the postwar period, another wave of labour migration to New Zealand began. The Polynesian ethnic groups were attracted to the assembly lines and fill semi and unskilled jobs because of the needs of the Fordist mass production system. 3 From 1950s on Pacific Islanders, at first Cook Islanders and Fijians and some years later many other countries, have been integrated into the New Zealand working class according to the periodic demands in industry. They work in the industrial areas or in some service sectors, i.e., hospital kitchens and laundries, and live in working class 1 Miles, ibid, pp. 146-47. 2 Jacqueline Lecki, "An Overview of the Pacific Labour Reserve" in Clive Moor, Jacqueline Lecki and Doug Munro (eds.)Labour in the South Pacific. (Townsville: James Cook University of Northern Queensland, 1990), p. xxx. 3 Paul Spoonley, "Economic Transformation and the Racialisation of Labour". 1992, unpublished paper, pp. 16-18. 54 residential area. 1 The number of migrants from Polynesian countries during 1971-86 is given in table 3.2 which reveals a net inflow of migrants from these countries to New Zealand. Table 3.2 Net Migration Gains and Losses to New '.Zealand of Polynesian-Born People, by Migrant Category, 1971-1986. Total Polynesian Permanent Long-term Short-term Total in period of NZ non NZ non residents residents residents residents 1971 - 76 4,973 -343 1,525 -1,200 18,667 23,662 1976 - 81 2,118 - 1,873 1,070 -1,133 6,766 6,948 1981 - 86 5,343 -340 261 45 9,517 14,856 1971 - 86 12,434 -2,526 2,856 -2,278 34,950 45,426 Source: Paul Spoonley, "Polynesian Immigrant Workers in New '.Zealand", in Moor, p. 156. Imports of labour from Pacific Islands enabled postwar industrialisation in New Zealand and the decisions and process concerning migration was left to private hands. "The state did little to oversee the migration and it was left to voluntary agencies and church organisations to look after the welfare of the migrants", 2 welfare which would have been the responsibility of the state to provide to the labour if they were recruited within New Zealand. And when the recession came, these workers were targeted to be a scapegoat. Since 1974, the government has become very strict about the "overstayer" as well as restricting immigration from Pacific Islands. Some workers 1 Paul Spoonley, "Polynesian Immigrant workers in New Zealand" in Moor, Lecld and Munro, Labour in the South Pacific. p. 157. 2 Ibid. 55 were repatriated and the remainders have suffered either lay-offs or racial discrimina­ tion or both. 1 Put together, trade and migration patterns articulate the disparity in relationship between New Z.ealand and South Pacific countries. Although New Zealand has not played a political imperialist role in the region, the available data indicate that the appropriation of surplus-value from the Pacific countries contributes to a certain level of capitalist development in New Zealand. This relationship is clearly that of the semiperiphery and the periphery. The arguments thus far have proved the position of New Zealand as a semiperipheral state and not a core country as many may regard. This proof is crucial for this thesis because it is a key factor in analyzing the New Zealand state role in relation with the MNCs. New Zealand has hitherto never shifted her position within the world hierarchy, which only a few states have. However, incremental changes occur over time in each stratum. To have a rough idea about what has become of New Zealand over the last two decades, I try to construct a table similar to that of Evans to point out the direction of the development. According to table 3.3, Australia and Korea show impressive progress compared with the countries' ranks in 1970. After 20 years, New Zealand remains in the same range - GNP between US$ 5 billion and $30 billion with Details of marginalisation of specific ethnic groups' labour force through economic transformation in New Zealand , see Spoonley, 1992. 56 per capita GNP greater than $1,000. But because many countries in this semiperi­ pheral area have shown a marked improvement statistically, it can be said that New Zealand's relative position vis-a-vis other semiperipheral states has declined. Table 3.3 Crude Classification of the International System circa 1990 Per Capita GNP Per Capita GNP Greater than $1,000 Lesser than $1,000 (1) (2) GNP greater than U.S. US $ 400 billion Japan F.R.Germany France Australia (3) (4) GNP between $100 billion Italy China and $ 400 billion United Kingdom India Canada Spain Switurland Netherlands Korea Sweden Belgium Mexico (5) (6) GNP between S 30 billion Austria Brazil and S 100 billion Finland Indonesia Denmark Turkey South Africa Thailand Greece Poland (7) (8) GNP between S 5 billion Israel Egypt and S 30 billion New Zealand Pakistan Hungary Philippines Colombia Romania Czechoslovakia Chile Argentina Peru Based on IMF, International Financial Statistics Yearbook, 1992. 57 New Zealand's descending status in the international economy is confirmed by the rating from the Standard and Poor' s Corporation. Once the country got the top rate of AAA but since May 1983 New Zealand has been rated AA minus .. "When New Zealand was last downgraded in March 1991, Standard and Poor's rationale was the continued vulnerability to adverse international developments, the level and maturity of external debt, and the uncertain timing and extent of the benefits from current refonn programmes".1 This decline in relative status after the 1970s implies structural problems overshadowing New Zealand economic strategy. Since New Zealand enjoyed a high living standard in the past, and that resulted from exporting commodities to Britain, dependence on the British market actually induced growth in New Zealand's economy. Likewise, 17th century Switzerland's dependence on the French market helped develop her export industry and brought the country up to the semiperipheral status.2 But what decides the sustainabi­ lity of economic development of both New Zealand and Switzerland is not only the profit margin that the production for export generated but also whether and how the profit is reinvested in the economy. And here, New Zealand's experience explains her relative downfall. Merely windfall profits cannot sustain continuous development. New Zealand's cl~ structure and relatively weak state vis-a-vis external and internal pressures account for the inability of the country to pursue an autocentric development As earlier mentioned, the period of downturn of 1930s-40s boosted New 1 Colgate and Stroombergen, A Promise to Pay .... p. 5. 2 MWS II, p. 200. ·' 58 z.ealand manufacturing industries, but because of the need for overseas funds, that only magnified the co