Copyright is owned by the Author of the thesis. Permission is given for a copy to be downloaded by an individual for the purpose of research and private study only. The thesis may not be reproduced elsewhere without the permission of the Author. An Australian Abroad: The secret life of the brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula) A thesis presented in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Veterinary science at Massey University, Manawatū, New Zealand Kyle Stephen Richardson 2016 II Dedication For Apple Monster III Abstract The “superspreader” hypothesis relates disease transmission to social contacts and assumes transmission is driven by the frequency, type and distribution of contacts among infected and susceptible individuals. I investigated characteristics of brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula) home ranges for six wild free-living subpopulations, (four grids were studied; all of them before possum depopulation and two of them after possum depopulation) constructing social networks relevant to bovine tuberculosis (TB) transmission before and after depopulation. I also experimentally infected possums with a novel strain of TB to monitor secondary case infections in relation to these contact and other factors, including population density and sex ratio. Before depopulation home range estimates showed adult males had larger home ranges than female and younger possums. Home range overlap and area of overlap differed between subpopulations, and possum sex and age; with adult males having more and larger overlaps with other possums. Possums were fitted with proximity-logging collars and contacts registered between April and October, 2012. The number of connections an individual has with others and the probability of the distribution of contacts it has within the population, or node degree and betweenness, also known as the shortest distance between individuals, were associated with sex, with males having higher values for each. Males also contacted more possums than females. Post-depopulation results showed an influx of male possums, higher population density, and smaller home range sizes than before depopulation. Possums post-depopulation also lacked an apparent ‘routine’ in contact networks, interacting with other possums haphazardly. The greater level of contact among adult males, than before depopulation, and their effects IV on recovering populations post-depopulation, was likely the cause of more TB infection in adults and males. This thesis provides empirical evidence that adult male possums have home range and contact network characteristics that are likely to enhance their involvement in the transmission and persistence of TB, relative to female and younger possums. Observations of experimentally infected individuals showed that infected males survived longer than females and that, as a consequence, those males potentially acted as a “supershedding” subgroup. I therefore provide evidence that adult male possums are the most important drivers of TB transmission and persistence of infection in populations, and could be targeted for control measures. V Acknowledgements First I would like to thank the following individuals for their guidance and support, and for showing me the joy I could find with a carrier in science. Michelle Anderson, Rick Douglass, Bill Good and Amy Kuenzi, you’ve all been an inspiration to me. Thank you to my fellow students at the Hopkirk Research Institute in Palmerston North, I think we all found help in helping each other. You made my time in New Zealand a joy. Thank you to the Royal Society of New Zealand Marsden Fund for making this thesis possible. I wouldn’t have completed it without the help of Isa Blasco-Costa, Marcus Bridge, Sam Brown, Dean Clark, Kev Drew, Nyree Fea, Anja Friedrich, Zoe Grange, Steve Hough, Mox, Chris Niebuhr, James Smith, and Cracker. You guys came out and worked harder grids under worse conditions than most scientists ever encounter. You all have my respect and deepest gratitude. I would like to thank Dr. Nicola Nelson, Dr. Weihong Ji and Dr. Lee Skerratt for taking the time and putting forth the effort to review this thesis. Your recommendations and input are greatly appreciated and have resulted in a better finished product. Thank you. I’ve devoted almost four years of my life to this project, but this study had five other men just as dedicated and driven to the task at hand as I was. Nigel French, I know I wasn’t easy for you to deal with or the best student for scheduling meetings (or just the best student in general), but I wasn’t a bore either. I thank you for that. Most of all, you gave me three years to witness first-hand what it takes to be a true top tier scientist. You definitely set the bar. Chris Jewell, it’s always nice to have a stats wiz on board. You sat for hours with me working the data. Thanks for being a part of this project and a valued VI advisor. Bryce Buddle, it feels like every question we set out to investigate during this study you already knew the answer to. Lots of people know possums and lots of people know disease, but I’d be hard pressed to find anyone who knows more about disease in possums than you. You’re a trooper in the bush, a master with a scalpel and a true professional to work with. No one offers better counsel or direction. Dan Tompkins, you’ve been the most important person in my life these last three years both personally and professionally. To say you went above and beyond the expectations as an advisor would be an enormous understatement. You offered everything you were able from guidance and support to food, drink and a roof over my head. You were the anchor of this study and for the team conducting it. I’m proud to call you my advisor and friend. Thank you to all of you for the opportunity you’ve given me to learn, and for the important roles you’ve each contributed to my live. To the last of the five but by no means the least Carlos Rouco, we sure rocked this project didn’t we? Possums, TB, earthquakes, wind and rain, no roads, no water, too much water, pigs, the possum pit, there was nothing we couldn’t handle. I’m not sure how two guys worked so well for so long out there without killing each other. Sure we had some bumps and bruises; there was a fair amount of pain and blood loss and one a hospital trip, just walk it off right. Along the way you found a way to teach me everything except how to speak Spanish and in the end we got the job done, thanks for everything my friend. I would also like to thank Scott Carver. You’ve advised me from my undergrad research through to the end of my PhD. There isn’t time to mention the countless times you’ve supported me. Professionally and personally I hold you in the highest regard, thanks for everything. Melanie Laird, you kept me smiling through the hardest times of this thesis. You encouraged me, supported me and helped me to push through to the finish. From the bottom of my heart, thank you. VII Finally, I would like to thank my family, Gary and Denise Richardson, my sister Claire and brother Cody. You’ve loved and supported me all my life. I’m only here now because of you. VIII Thesis structure and format This thesis is presented as a series of seven chapters. Encompassed by a general introduction and discussion, five research chapters have been prepared and are presented for future publication in peer reviewed journals. Chapter one General introduction and literature review introduces the concepts behind the research contained in this thesis by discussion and reviewing current literature of basic ecology of brushtail possums and disease ecology associated with the aspects of bovine tuberculosis. Chapter two Interacting determinants of brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula) home range size and implication for possum population management will be submitted to Australian Journal of Ecology Chapter three Home range overlaps in the brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula): investigating potential intrinsic and extrinsic determinants will be submitted to Australian Journal of Ecology Chapter four Construction of brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula) contact networks to inform on bovine tuberculosis transmission between individuals, and its persistence in wild populations IX Chapter five Changes in population structure following depopulation; implications for TB transmission and persistence Chapter six Relating variation in tuberculosis (TB) transmission in brushtail possums (Trichosurus vulpecula) to potential drivers found at the environmental, population and individual level Chapter seven General discussion summarises the significant findings of this study. The relevance and implications are discussed and future research directions are suggested. Chapter eight Literature cited has been collated at the end of the thesis to reduce repetition. Literature is referred to in the format consistent with the format used for the journal Ecology. Chapter nine Appendix: Improving animal welfare standards while reducing disease exposure risk during euthanasia of trapped brushtail possums (Trichosurus vulpecula), C. Rouco, K.S. Richardson, D.M. Tompkins. Published Animal Welfare 2015, Vol 24; pg 235- 239. X Table of Contents 1. General introduction and literature review ……………………………….......................1 1.1.Study aim ………………………..………………………………………….…...1 1.2.Study species- the brushtail possums ……………………………………….......5 1.3.M. bovis and its presence in possums ……………………………………….......6 1.4.Home range, distribution and behaviour ………………………………………..7 1.5.Contact networks ……………………………………………………………....10 1.6.TB transmission in the brushtail possum ………………………………………11 1.7.Thesis chapter contents ………………………………………………………...12 2. Interacting determinants of brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula) home range size and implication for possum population management ……………………………….…14 2.1.Introduction ……………………………………………………………………14 2.2.Methods and materials ………………………………………………………....17 2.2.1. Study site ……………………………………………………………....17 2.2.2. Data Collection …………………………………………………...……18 2.2.3. Population-scale density and mean home range estimates …………….19 2.2.4. Determinants of individual home range size …………………………..20 2.3.Results ……………………………………………………………………...….20 2.3.1. Population-scale density and mean home range estimates …………….20 2.3.2. Determinants of individual home range size …………………………..24 2.4.Discussion ………………………………………………………………….…..27 3. Home range overlaps in the brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula): investigating potential intrinsic and extrinsic determinants ………………………………………….29 3.1.Introduction ……………………………………………………………………29 3.2.Methods and materials ………………………………………………………....31 3.2.1. Study site ……………………………………………………………....31 3.2.2. Data collection ………………………………………………………....32 3.2.3. Analysis ………………………………………………………………..32 3.3.Results …………………………………………………………………………33 3.3.1. Number of overlaps …………………………………………………....33 3.3.2. Area of overlaps …………………………………………………….....38 3.4.Discussion ……………………………………………………………………...42 XI 3.4.1. Implications ………………………………………………………...….44 4. Construction of brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula) contact networks to in for on bovine tuberculosis transmission between individuals, and its persistence in wild populations …………………………………………………………………...………..47 4.1.Introduction ……………………………………………………………………47 4.2.Methods and materials ………………………………………………………....50 4.2.1. Data collection ………………………………………………………....50 4.2.2. Analysis ………………………………………………………………..51 4.2.2.1. Population-level analysis ……………………………….……...52 4.2.2.2. Individual-level analysis ………………………………..……...54 4.2.2.3. Contact-level analysis ……………………………..…………...54 4.3.Results …………………………………………………………….…………...59 4.3.1. Population-level summaries of network characteristics ……………….59 4.3.2. Individual-level analysis ……………………………………………….61 4.3.3. Contact-level analysis ………………………………………………….65 4.4.Discussion ……………………………………………………….……………..67 5. The response of brushtail possum (Trichosurus vulpecula) populations to control, and implication for TB transmission and persistence ………………………………...……72 5.1.Introduction ……………………………………………………….……...……72 5.2.Methods and materials …………………………………………….…………...74 5.2.1. Study site ……………………………………………………………....74 5.2.2. Data collection ………………………………………………………....74 5.2.3. Analysis ………………………………………………………………..74 5.2.3.1. Population-level analysis ……………………………………....75 5.2.3.2. Individual-level analysis ……………………………………….75 5.2.3.3. Contact-level analysis ………………………………………….75 5.3.Results ……………………………………………………………….……...…75 5.3.1. Home range …………………………………………………………....75 5.3.2. Population-level analysis ……………………………………………....77 5.3.3. Individual-level analysis ……………………………………………….80 5.3.4. Contact-level analysis ………………………………………………….84 5.4.Discussion ………………………………………………………….…………..86 XII 6. Relating variation in tuberculosis (TB) transmission in brushtail possums (Trichosurus vulpecula) to potential drivers found at the environmental, population and individual level …………………………………………………………………………..………..93 6.1.Introduction ………………………………………………………….……...…93 6.2.Methods and materials ……………………………………………….………...97 6.2.1. Experimental design ………………………………………………...…98 6.2.2. Experimental infection methodology …………………………….....…99 6.3.Analysis ……………………………………………………………….……...101 6.3.1. Survival rates of challenged possums ………………………………...101 6.3.2. Population-level drivers of transmission ……………………………..101 6.3.3. Subgroups-level drivers of transmission ……………………………..101 6.3.4. Individual-level drivers of transmission …………………………...…102 6.4.Results ………………………………………………………………….…….102 6.4.1. Survival rates of challenged possums in season 2 ……………………102 6.4.2. Population-level drivers of transmission ……………………………..105 6.4.3. Subgroup-level considerations ……….……………………………....109 6.4.4. Individual-level drivers …………………………………………...….110 6.5.Discussion ………………………………………………………………….…111 7. General discussion …………………………………………………………………....115 7.1.Possum home range ………………………...……………………….………..116 7.1.1. Home range overlaps ……………………………………...………….117 7.2.Possum contact networks …………………………………………………….119 7.3.Post-depopulation possum dynamics ………………………………………...120 7.4.TB transmission ……………………………………………………………....122 7.5.Implications and management ………………………………………………..123 8. Literature cited ………………………………………………………………………..126 9. Appendix ……………………………………………………………………………..147 XIII List of tables and figures Tables 2-1 ………………………………………………………………………………...……16 2-2 ……………………………………………………………………………...………22 2-3 …………………………………………………………………………...…………23 2-4 ……………………………………………………………………………………...25 3-1 ………………………………………………………………………...……………34 3-2 ……………………………………………………………………...………………35 3-3 …………………………………………………………………...…………………37 3-4 ………………………………………………………………...……………………40 4-1 ……………………………………………………………...………………………53 4-2 …………………………………………………………...…………………………60 4-3 ………………………………………………………...……………………………62 4-4 ……………………………………………………...………………………………63 4-5 …………………………………………………...…………………………………64 4-6 ………………………………………………...……………………………………65 5-1 ……………………………………………...………………………………………77 5-2 …………………………………………...…………………………………………79 5-3 ………………………………………...……………………………………………80 5-4 ……………………………………...………………………………………………81 5-5 …………………………………...…………………………………………………83 6-1 ………………………………...…………………………………………………..103 6-2 ……………………………...……………………………………………………..107 6-3 …………………………...………………………………………………………..110 Figures 2-1 ………………………...……………………………………………………………18 2-2 ……………………………………………………………………………………...26 3-1 ……………………...………………………………………………………………36 3-2 …………………...…………………………………………………………………39 3-3 ………………...……………………………………………………………………41 3-4 ……………...………………………………………………………………………42 4-1 …………...…………………………………………………………………………57 4-2 ………...……………………………………………………………………………58 XIV 4-3 ……...………………………………………………………………………………63 4-4 …...…………………………………………………………………………………66 4-5 ...……………………………………………………………………………………67 5-1 ………………………………………………...……………………………………85 5-2 ……………………………………………...………………………………………86 5-3 …………………………………………...…………………………………………90 6-1 ………………………………………...……………………………………………92 6-2 ……………………………………...……………………………………………..104 6-3 …………………………………...………………………………………………..105 6-4 ………………………………...…………………………………………………..108 6-5 ……………………………...……………………………………………………..109