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    Ground leaseholders' perception of rent review risk : the impact of the availablilty heuristic : a thesis presented in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy (Property) at Massey University, Albany, New Zealand
    (Massey University, 2019) Pope, Alan R.
    The aim of this thesis is to explore the adequacy of investor perception of market ground rent review risk, on ground leasehold value. Ground rent levels are a function of freehold value levels, so if at the time of review there have been freehold price increases, it follows that ground rents will increase. Increased ground rent at rent review time, will lead to lower ground leasehold value, as the cost obligations increase for the ground leasehold. Reports of ground leaseholder discontent with ground rents are therefore not surprising, however the literature to date does not appear to robustly explain how individuals anticipate and quantify this risk when making ground leasehold purchase decisions. Investigating if behavioural theory explains the relationship between a ground rent review and a ground leasehold purchase is undertaken. The objective is to determine if the ground leasehold tenure type is flawed by not being appropriately designed to account for ground leaseholder thinking. In order to form a hypothesis for testing, twenty-five semi-structured interviews with ground leaseholders were carried out. The semi-structured interviews pointed to ground leaseholders linking freehold and ground leasehold value increases together, not considering that the ground rent increases reduce the ground leasehold value, especially at rent review time. This incorrect correlation of freehold value growth to ground leasehold value growth, suggests that ground leaseholders are susceptible to the availability heuristic. In order to robustly test the application of the availability heuristic, experimental scenarios were put to forty property investors. The investors either completed a scenario with freehold growth as a manifestation of the availability heuristic (treatment), or not (control). The results showed that there was a statistical difference between the treatment and control groups, and in the posited direction, indicating that the availability heuristic explains the ground leasehold valuation behaviours of investors. These results are important because they show that knowledgeable market participants, in this case property investors, are not fully accounting for the ground leasehold rent review risk. Ground leaseholder concerns about ground rent review levels aired in the semi-structured interviews are genuine. The ground leasehold rent review procedures are not designed to account for ground leaseholders thinking and the tenure form accordingly requires revision where possible.
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    An analysis of some computer assisted valuation procedures : a thesis ... for the degree of Master of Agricultural Business and Administration in Valuation at Massey University
    (Massey University, 1982) Hargreaves, Robert Vernon
    The objective of the thesis is to examine computer applications to the sales, income, and cost approaches to valuation. The author describes and evaluates computer programs suitable for the storage and retrieval of sales data, the analysis of 'net rate' information for houses, and the adjustment of land sales for size variations. The use of multiple regression analysis in the sales approach to valuation is reviewed, and this methodology is then applied to the valuation of a group of home units and single family homes. Variables were selected from the Valuation Department sales data base and multiple listing information. The inclusion of the existing rating valuation significantly improved the predictive ability of the regression equations. Several microcomputer applications to the income approach to valuation are discussed in the context of discounted cash flow. These include programs that compute residual land value for hypothetical developments and the optimum building for a site. A case study approach is used to demonstrate the application of net present value, internal rate of return, and financial management rate of return approaches to valuation. Two computer programs designed to estimate the replacement cost of buildings utilise costing information based on the New Zealand Institute of Valuers modal house. One of these programs calculates the replacement cost of a variety of farm sheds, and the other program calculates the replacement cost of houses. The author concludes that computer assistance offers considerable potential benefits to valuers for the storage and retrieval of sales information and for automating many aspects of the valuation process.