Calibrating the Wildfire Decision Model using hybrid choice modelling

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dc.citation.volume50
dc.contributor.authorLovreglio R
dc.contributor.authorKuligowski E
dc.contributor.authorWalpole E
dc.contributor.authorLink E
dc.contributor.authorGwynne S
dc.date.available2020-11
dc.date.issued2020-11
dc.description.abstractWildfire occurrences is creating serious challenges for fire and emergency response services and a diverse range of communities around the world due to the increment of the occurrence of these disasters. As such, understanding the physical and social dynamics characterizing wildfires events is paramount to reduce the risk of these natural disasters. As such, one of the main challenges is to understand how households perceive wildfires and respond to them as part of the evacuation process. In this work, the Wildfire Decision Model originally proposed in Lovreglio et al. [1] is calibrated using a hybrid choice model formulation. The Wildfire Decision Model is a newly developed behavioural choice model for large-scale wildfire evacuations based on the estimation of the risk perceived by households and the impact that this has on the decision-making process. This model is calibrated using a hybrid choice modelling solution and survey data collected after the 2016 Chimney Tops 2 wildfire in Tennessee, USA. The proposed model shows good agreement with the preliminary findings available in the wildfire evacuation literature; namely, the perceived risk is affected by both external factors (i.e., warnings and fire cues) and internal factors (i.e., education, previous wildfire evacuation experience and time of residency in a property).
dc.description.publication-statusPublished
dc.identifierhttp://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000599648600005&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=c5bb3b2499afac691c2e3c1a83ef6fef
dc.identifierARTN 101770
dc.identifier.citationINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION, 2020, 50
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101770
dc.identifier.elements-id434726
dc.identifier.harvestedMassey_Dark
dc.identifier.issn2212-4209
dc.publisherElsevier Ltd
dc.relation.isPartOfINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
dc.relation.replaceshttp://hdl.handle.net/123456789/25263
dc.relation.replaces123456789/25263
dc.rightsCC BY-NC-ND
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectHousehold
dc.subjectEvacuation
dc.subjectWildfire
dc.subjectHybrid choice
dc.subjectModelling
dc.subject.anzsrc0502 Environmental Science and Management
dc.subject.anzsrc1117 Public Health and Health Services
dc.subject.anzsrc1604 Human Geography
dc.titleCalibrating the Wildfire Decision Model using hybrid choice modelling
dc.typeJournal article
pubs.notesNot known
pubs.organisational-group/Massey University
pubs.organisational-group/Massey University/College of Sciences
pubs.organisational-group/Massey University/College of Sciences/School of Built Environment
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