Projecting the compound effects of climate change and white-nose syndrome on North American bat species

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dc.citation.volume3
dc.contributor.authorMcClure ML
dc.contributor.authorHranac CR
dc.contributor.authorHaase CG
dc.contributor.authorMcGinnis S
dc.contributor.authorDickson BG
dc.contributor.authorHayman DTS
dc.contributor.authorMcGuire LP
dc.contributor.authorLausen CL
dc.contributor.authorPlowright RK
dc.contributor.authorFuller N
dc.contributor.authorOlson SH
dc.date.accessioned2024-02-01T19:46:19Z
dc.date.accessioned2024-07-25T06:36:48Z
dc.date.available2021-12-22
dc.date.available2024-02-01T19:46:19Z
dc.date.available2024-07-25T06:36:48Z
dc.date.issued2022-12
dc.description.abstractClimate change and disease are threats to biodiversity that may compound and interact with one another in ways that are difficult to predict. White-nose syndrome (WNS), caused by a cold-loving fungus (Pseudogymnoascus destructans), has had devastating impacts on North American hibernating bats, and impact severity has been linked to hibernaculum microclimate conditions. As WNS spreads across the continent and climate conditions change, anticipating these stressors’ combined impacts may improve conservation outcomes for bats. We build on the recent development of winter species distribution models for five North American bat species, which used a hybrid correlative-mechanistic approach to integrate spatially explicit winter survivorship estimates from a bioenergetic model of hibernation physiology. We apply this bioenergetic model given the presence of P. destructans, including parameters capturing its climate-dependent growth as well as its climate-dependent effects on host physiology, under both current climate conditions and scenarios of future climate change. We then update species distribution models with the resulting survivorship estimates to predict changes in winter hibernacula suitability under future conditions. Exposure to P. destructans is generally projected to decrease bats’ winter occurrence probability, but in many areas, changes in climate are projected to lessen the detrimental impacts of WNS. This rescue effect is not predicted for all species or geographies and may arrive too late to benefit many hibernacula. However, our findings offer hope that proactive conservation strategies to minimize other sources of mortality could allow bat populations exposed to P. destructans to persist long enough for conditions to improve.
dc.description.confidentialfalse
dc.edition.editionDecember 2022
dc.identifier.citationMcClure ML, Hranac CR, Haase CG, McGinnis S, Dickson BG, Hayman DTS, McGuire LP, Lausen CL, Plowright RK, Fuller N, Olson SH. (2022). Projecting the compound effects of climate change and white-nose syndrome on North American bat species. Climate Change Ecology. 3.
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.ecochg.2021.100047
dc.identifier.eissn2666-9005
dc.identifier.elements-typejournal-article
dc.identifier.number100047
dc.identifier.piiS2666900521000472
dc.identifier.urihttps://mro.massey.ac.nz/handle/10179/70539
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherElsevier Inc
dc.publisher.urihttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666900521000472
dc.relation.isPartOfClimate Change Ecology
dc.rights(c) The author/sen
dc.rights.licenseCC BY-NC-ND 4.0en
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/en
dc.subjectBats
dc.subjectSubterranean microclimate
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectHibernation
dc.subjectSpecies distribution model
dc.subjectWhite-nose syndrome
dc.titleProjecting the compound effects of climate change and white-nose syndrome on North American bat species
dc.typeJournal article
pubs.elements-id455271
pubs.organisational-groupOther
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