Analysis of global nutrient gaps and their potential to be closed through redistribution and increased supply

dc.citation.volume11
dc.contributor.authorFletcher AJ
dc.contributor.authorLozano R
dc.contributor.authorMcNabb WC
dc.contributor.editorVan Der Wielen N
dc.coverage.spatialSwitzerland
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-14T22:03:25Z
dc.date.available2024-11-14T22:03:25Z
dc.date.issued2024-08-09
dc.description.abstractGlobal food systems are crucial for sustaining life on Earth. Although estimates suggest that the current production system can provide enough food and nutrients for everyone, equitable distribution remains challenging. Understanding global nutrient distribution is vital for addressing disparities and creating effective solutions for the present and future. This study analyzes global nutrient supply changes to address inadequacies in certain populations using the existing DELTA ModelĀ®, which uses aggregates of global food production to estimate nutrient adequacy. By examining the 2020 global food commodity and nutrient distribution, we project future food production in 2050 needs to ensure global adequate nutrition. Our findings reveal that while some nutrients appear to be adequately supplied on a global scale, many countries face national insufficiencies (% supply below the population reference intake) in essential vitamins and minerals, such as vitamins A, B12, B2, potassium, and iron. Closing these gaps will require significant increases in nutrient supply. For example, despite global protein supply surpassing basic needs for the 2050 population, significant shortages persist in many countries due to distribution variations. A 1% increase in global protein supply, specifically targeting countries with insufficiencies, could address the observed 2020 gaps. However, without consumption pattern changes, a 26% increase in global protein production is required by 2050 due to population growth. In this study, a methodology was developed, applying multi-decade linear convergence to sufficiency values at the country level. This approach facilitates a more realistic assessment of future needs within global food system models, such as the DELTA ModelĀ®, transitioning from idealized production scenarios to realistic projections. In summary, our study emphasizes understanding global nutrient distribution and adjusting minimum global nutrient supply targets to tackle country-level inequality. Incorporating these insights into global food balance models can improve projections and guide policy decisions for sustainable, healthy diets worldwide.
dc.description.confidentialfalse
dc.format.pagination1396549-
dc.identifier.author-urlhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/39183987
dc.identifier.citationFletcher AJ, Lozano R, McNabb WC. (2024). Analysis of global nutrient gaps and their potential to be closed through redistribution and increased supply.. Front Nutr. 11. (pp. 1396549-).
dc.identifier.doi10.3389/fnut.2024.1396549
dc.identifier.eissn2296-861X
dc.identifier.elements-typejournal-article
dc.identifier.issn2296-861X
dc.identifier.number1396549
dc.identifier.urihttps://mro.massey.ac.nz/handle/10179/72009
dc.languageeng
dc.publisherFrontiers Media S.A.
dc.publisher.urihttps://www.frontiersin.org/journals/nutrition/articles/10.3389/fnut.2024.1396549/full
dc.relation.isPartOfFront Nutr
dc.rights(c) 2024 The Author/s
dc.rightsCC BY 4.0
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectinequality
dc.subjectmathematical modeling
dc.subjectmicronutrients
dc.subjectnutrient adequacy
dc.subjectsustainability
dc.subjectsystems modeling
dc.titleAnalysis of global nutrient gaps and their potential to be closed through redistribution and increased supply
dc.typeJournal article
pubs.elements-id491415
pubs.organisational-groupOther
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