The communication of uncertain scientific advice during natural hazard events

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dc.citation.issue4
dc.citation.volume40
dc.contributor.authorHudson-Doyle EE
dc.contributor.authorJohnston DM
dc.contributor.authorMcClure J
dc.contributor.authorPaton D
dc.date.available2011
dc.date.issued2011
dc.description.abstractDuring natural hazard crises such as earthquakes, tsunami, and volcanic eruptions, a number of critical challenges arise in emergency management decision-making. A multidisciplinary approach bridging psychology and natural hazard sciences has the potential to enhance the quality of these decisions. Psychological research into the public understanding of different phrasings of probability has identified that the framing, directionality and probabilistic format can influence people’s understanding, affecting their action choices. We present results identifying that translations of verbal to numerical probability phrases differ between scientists and non-scientists, and that translation tables such as those used for the International Panel on Climate Change reports should be developed for natural hazards. In addition we present a preliminary result illustrating that individuals may ‘shift’ the likelihood of an event towards the end of a time window.
dc.description.publication-statusPublished
dc.format.extent39 - 50
dc.identifierhttp://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000214420600007&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=c5bb3b2499afac691c2e3c1a83ef6fef
dc.identifier.citationNEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF PSYCHOLOGY, 2011, 40 (4), pp. 39 - 50
dc.identifier.eissn1179-7924
dc.identifier.elements-id161089
dc.identifier.issn0112-109X
dc.publisherThe New Zealand Psychological Society
dc.relation.isPartOfNEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF PSYCHOLOGY
dc.titleThe communication of uncertain scientific advice during natural hazard events
dc.typeJournal article
pubs.notesNot known
pubs.organisational-group/Massey University
pubs.organisational-group/Massey University/College of Humanities and Social Sciences
pubs.organisational-group/Massey University/College of Humanities and Social Sciences/Joint Centre for Disaster Research
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