Journal Articles

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://mro.massey.ac.nz/handle/10179/7915

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Author: search.filters.author.Pabst ASubject: search.filters.subject.epidemiology

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    Social Isolation and Incident Dementia in the Oldest-Old—A Competing Risk Analysis
    (Frontiers Media S.A, 2022-06) Grothe J; Röhr S; Luppa M; Pabst A; Kleineidam L; Heser K; Fuchs A; Pentzek M; Oey A; Wiese B; Lühmann D; van den Bussche H; Weyerer S; Werle J; Weeg D; Bickel H; Scherer M; König H-H; Hajek A; Wagner M; Riedel-Heller SG
    Purpose: Social isolation is considered a risk factor for dementia. However, less is known about social isolation and dementia with respect to competing risk of death, particularly in the oldest-old, who are at highest risk for social isolation, dementia and mortality. Therefore, we aimed to examine these associations in a sample of oldest-old individuals. Methods: Analyses were based on follow-up (FU) 5–9 of the longitudinal German study AgeCoDe/AgeQualiDe. Social isolation was assessed using the short form of the Lubben Social Network Scale (LSNS-6), with a score ≤ 12 indicating social isolation. Structured interviews were used to identify dementia cases. Competing risk analysis based on the Fine-Gray model was conducted to test the association between social isolation and incident dementia. Results: Excluding participants with prevalent dementia, n = 1,161 individuals were included. Their mean age was 86.6 (SD = 3.1) years and 67.0% were female. The prevalence of social isolation was 34.7% at FU 5, 9.7% developed dementia and 36.0% died during a mean FU time of 4.3 (SD = 0.4) years. Adjusting for covariates and cumulative mortality risk, social isolation was not significantly associated with incident dementia; neither in the total sample (sHR: 1.07, 95%CI 0.65-1.76, p = 0.80), nor if stratified by sex (men: sHR: 0.71, 95%CI 0.28-1.83, p = 0.48; women: sHR: 1.39, 95%CI 0.77-2.51, p = 0.27). Conclusion: In contrast to the findings of previous studies, we did not find an association between social isolation and incident dementia in the oldest-old. However, our analysis took into account the competing risk of death and the FU period was rather short. Future studies, especially with longer FU periods and more comprehensive assessment of qualitative social network characteristics (e.g., loneliness and satisfaction with social relationships) may be useful for clarification.
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    Is dementia incidence declining in high-income countries? A systematic review and meta-analysis
    (Dove Medical Press, 2018) Roehr S; Pabst A; Luck T; Riedel-Heller SG
    Purpose: To perform a systematic review and quantitative synthesis of studies on recent trends in dementia incidence in high-income countries (HIC), considering study quality. Methods: PubMed and Web of Science were searched for eligible studies, that is, population-based/community-based prospective cohort studies investigating dementia incidence with similar methods over time, published after 1990. Study selection, data extraction, and quality assessment were performed independently by two investigators. Random-effect meta-analysis and meta-regression were used to estimate incidence change (IC) and to explore associations with study attributes. PRISMA standards were followed. Results: The systematic review included seven studies (42,485 individuals), and the meta-analysis included five studies of sufficient quality. Relating dementia incidence of later cohorts to earlier cohorts (reference) yielded a nonsignificant decrease across HIC (IC =0.82; 95% CI 0.51–1.33), with high heterogeneity (I²=94.9%, P<0.001) and without publication bias (Egger’s t=–1.77; P=0.18). Excluding the Japanese Hisayama study, the only study suggesting an increase, indicated borderline evidence for a decrease across Western HIC (IC =0.69; 95% CI 0.47–1.00; I²=88.1%, P<0.001; Egger’s t=–0.34, P=0.77), again with high heterogeneity. Meta-regression did not reveal an association of incidence rate with calendar year or study attributes; however, analyses were low powered. Conclusion: There is evidence of favorable trends in dementia incidence in Western HIC (stabilizing/decreasing). Reverse trends may occur in HIC of other regions, as exemplified by Japan. However, study number was small and heterogeneity was high. Further cohort studies using consistent methods are needed to draw definite conclusions. Our work may inform such future studies.